30min top right that seems like a light flop call. He can be valueraising overpairs if you are bet/calling almost every Jx. You should either have a FD for backup or 3B bluff I would think.

I have to watch a ton of bubble guppies when i'm watching my niece and nephew as well haha.

Hey Phil, Nice video.

Im a NLH player, im just starting with PLO, and im not sure that i even qualify to write any thought here, but anyways, don´t know why, ill do it.

I think its a pretty intresting concept on min 12 about calling the turn as a bluff a x% of the time. But id like to do that on spots where the check river frecquency of opponents will be high (Is this a spot where villain river check frecquency is high after betting the turn at PLO ? Its not at NLH), or where my range is pretty nut heavy, so ill call with some bluffs to wait to the river to fold (this happends a lot on 4b pots for example), because i dont want to call the river with all the hands that i did call the turn with. Seems kind of exploitable to me, because opponent would improve the ev of his strategy by never bluffing the river.

Hey Phil, minute 39 of the video you contemplate raising river for value with nut boat. I did the range distribution on this one and it appears to be a profitable raise.

I gave villain the following frequencies: Opening 100%, cbetting 75% of his range and barreling 66% of his range. I can go into exact assumptions if requested, but usually when we're dealing with very high frequencies, different assumptions about the exact range composition (IE what 25% or 30% to leave out) produce very similar results.

On the river I assumed villain bets for value with the nut flush or better. The following is the distribution of his river value betting range:

Better hands: 7%
Same hand as us: 13.6%.
Weaker hands: 79.4%.

In fact if he's only calling our river raise with A3 60% of the time that he has it and never considers bluffcathing any other hand, we'll be profiting on our river raise. This is because he has 12% A3 and 7% 33+ in his river value betting range.

Tightening his river value betting range to include only boats had a pretty mild effect. We can still rely just on A3 calls and be good.

If anyone wants to play around with the assumptions on PokerJuice, You can download the HH here.