$25/$50 HU 250bb Deep Ante PLO Vs Ravenswood13 (part 3)
Posted by Phil Galfond
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8:00 right table, TT86dd on J95ccd 5d 8c. You talk about leading and how you don't want to because you don't have the good boats in your range. Do you think that having a leading range here is important enough to start "slow-playing" some of your JJ,99,J5 combos? That seems tough because when the board does not pair you are very rarely left with the nuts. But on the other hand, I think it would be nice to have a leading range so you could get more value and bluff some.
I do slowplay some of them, but probably not as many as I should, mostly because I like to bluff-raise this turn a fair amount (so I x/r a lot of my boats as well).
Still, when I get to this river with those hands, I'll be checking. I haven't put a ton of thought into a leading range here. I think J5 and hands like mine (TT86) make good candidates. Maybe it'd be a little bit better to lead with a J and or 9 blocker.
Phil Almighty,
Do you think you could do some pure theory videos? I would really like to see the decision tree of adjustments/villain counter adjustments that can be made when both players are making exploitative plays against each other.
Example: condition 1 -- Villain opening 100% from sb playing an incredibly honest and straightforward cbet strategy otf as the pfr AND condition 2 -- single raised pots, we notice villain is checking back quite frequently with "air" that we would normally like to x/call vs a higher cbet% and is incredibly value heavy when choosing to cbet AND condition 3 he is not bluff raising flops vs our leads or floating light and making our life hell on future streets
therefore, as an exploitative adjustment we can 1 -- start leading flops with our weak/medium strength hands so as to fold out his air with decent equity AND 2 -- x/f vs his cbet an abnormally high % as it is likely much stronger than average AND 3 x/r our very nutted hands that we would like to stack off with otf since it is much more likely that we are coolering villain because he has no air in his cbet range
if villain notices we are beginning to lead flops more, he should then adjust by taking action X, or Y, or Z
Thanks for your consideration.
+1
Old man,
I think it's a great idea. I try to explain as best I can how to do that in the review of footage, and I think I got into it a fair amount in part 1 of this series. That said, a theory video would have more direct focus on it.
I do some work on theory videos often (I have a rough draft of slides already finished for one, and detailed outlines for two more). The problem I run into is how long it takes me to finalize and be sure about the way I want to present the information. Maybe I'm being a bit too much of a perfectionist.
This seems like a theory video concept that could be done more efficiently though. Thank you very much for suggesting it.
^^
That's why you're the best! I think I can speak for everyone in saying that we greatly appreciate all that you do.
Thanks, man. It means a lot.
PM incoming.
35:00 right table: AJ64ds on J443ss
I was surprised to hear you say that a check raise would be a big mistake in this spot. This is a situation that has come up in some discussions with my friends, and the main question is:
Will Villain bet enough rivers?
Examples:
He has 4x, no fd, and flush comes. Wont bet.
He has a str8 on the river, but board flushed. Wont bet.
He has a 4x and str8 came. May bet, may not.
A or K hits river and he is not full. May bet, may not.
The board bricks and he has air. This one is tricky. You have called a check raise and a large turn bet. It takes a ton of heart to fire a 3rd bullet with nothing here. Especially if all draws missed and he is blocking draws. He is also betting polarized, so it is more likely that you will be making some hero calls as well.
Obviously you are thinking differently, so your 2 cents is much appreciated.
Great video, as always.
As a general rule, we don't want to be raising often against a very polarized range (which his certainly is here).
I agree that there are scenarios where we lose some action from a 4 (but not a straight, since he will just fold the turn to a raise with a straight draw). Still, I think his bluffs will outweigh that risk.
I have very few 4s in my preflop range, so he will have a decent level of follow through on rivers (if he doesn't, it's a mistake).
We also need to keep in mind that we hold a 4, making it much less likely he has 4x compared to when we have AA (or JJ). With far fewer 4x hands, it means he's very often bluffing, so I think maximizing my value against his bluffs is especially important here.
Can you consider doing a video HU series vs Sauce, Ben86, Lefort or D2themfi?
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