I'm not sure if you fully touched on it or not. But if we get to the turn and face this pot bet, and we are assuming villain has maybe half as many bluffs as they're suppose to (lacking Kd4x, Kd5x, etc.), are we folding the turn with QTdd?
Are there other hands from this $250K in other videos?
Great question. If villain is going to underbluffing by a significant margin, turn is going to be a fold. Not just because we don't get "paid" by his mandatory bluffs on diamond rivers, but also just because we have way lower EQR overall because we don't get to show down on a bunch of rivers. The concept of showing down and winning with QT high after facing a turn overbet in this spot might seem absurd, but it actually isn't. If you click through the PIO sim, you'll see that on a lot of rivers QTdd actually has 10%+ pot share (for example on a 2s our EV is 28 chips, on a 9h it is 25 chips - in a pot of 233 chips). That's a lot. When diamonds miss villain just doesn't get to bluff with diamonds in his hand, so we just check down and win against stuff like Qx8d.
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Really great content from you as always Daniel, one of the reasons I have an elite membership!
Would be great if you could upload the tree and the pre solution as you mentioned in the end of the video :)
Hey, find them below :)
I was going to upload them when the video went up, but sometimes it's a bit between when I do a video and it goes up so it slipped from my mind.
Here are the PIO sims:
BvB preflop:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/h94u75aosngi549/bvb%20pre.cfr?dl=0
QT postflop:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/8yev4zunkk09kuu/QTdd%20post.cfr?dl=0
Thanks, this was great!
I'm not sure if you fully touched on it or not. But if we get to the turn and face this pot bet, and we are assuming villain has maybe half as many bluffs as they're suppose to (lacking Kd4x, Kd5x, etc.), are we folding the turn with QTdd?
Are there other hands from this $250K in other videos?
Great question. If villain is going to underbluffing by a significant margin, turn is going to be a fold. Not just because we don't get "paid" by his mandatory bluffs on diamond rivers, but also just because we have way lower EQR overall because we don't get to show down on a bunch of rivers. The concept of showing down and winning with QT high after facing a turn overbet in this spot might seem absurd, but it actually isn't. If you click through the PIO sim, you'll see that on a lot of rivers QTdd actually has 10%+ pot share (for example on a 2s our EV is 28 chips, on a 9h it is 25 chips - in a pot of 233 chips). That's a lot. When diamonds miss villain just doesn't get to bluff with diamonds in his hand, so we just check down and win against stuff like Qx8d.
Don't think there are other hands from this 250k in other videos (at least not mine).
Awesome, thanks for the answer!
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