$2100 SCOOP 8-Game Mixed Poker MTT (part 5)
Posted by Iteopepe88
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Great work!
@ 34 when u say it is a mistake for robinho to fold 5th u are not accounting for the fact that you are not actually heads up and the main pot is rather large. Since u showed he has 27% vs u but needs only 22 i am sure he made a correct fold once u put in a range for the allinplayer instead of counting him as dead cards
Yes, you are right, i forget that fact and only calculated that spot, if it would been HU
It's impossible to put both merlas and my range into troutulator (you can only put there one range).
With reverse implied odds he need around 22,3%
He is gettind now directly 10,6%, and he can make a decision on 6th street (for example if we both get scary card, he can fold)
Still it's pretty close, because he has 15,2% 3way
@40 when you say that Dan should be folding 5th you are (1) solving as if you're blindly firing 100% (which if anything is to his advantage), (2) solving as if you have 3 flushes (I would contend you would lead at least some of these on 4th). Using PPT I really don't see how Dan can fold 5th street. Dan will have less than 15% equity on ~10% of 6th streets, that and the fact he is in position make this a call. Regarding the 6th street fold I see this as an easy call.
I am enjoying the series though, no one else has bothered to go into the depth on these games that you have.
I still think he should fold 5th, but it's really close. It depends how many 3 flush do i have.
His equity on 5th is between 30,5% and 32,5%. I'am checking my whole range on 4th and not really sure how i am playing this these days, but if i check my whole range and then c-call my whole range then his equity is even lower 30,0%. But if i have a checkraise range, it would be:
3card low, 3flush to start, 4flush now
rolled up, kings up
If we exclude this hands then his equity goes up to 31%
Yes, he is getting the direct price, but his future playability isn't that good, although it isnt terrible either. I think for him i would want to have 31,25% to continue. So if he had 3flush (1 diamond in the hole) that's a continue for me.
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