$2100 SCOOP 8-Game Mixed Poker MTT (part 2)
Posted by Iteopepe88
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Thank you!
Glad to see you making more videos.
I'd like to suggest you mostly pass on reviewing Limit Hold'em spots in your videos. Similar to PLO/NLHE there are already RiO pros who make very good LHE videos.
I find the Stud/Draw/Omaha footage much much more interesting!
You said you later figured out who femmeonfelt was....but continued to call her "him". Must've got bad info :)
According to PokerStars, she is Maria Ho
I got the right the info, but i didnt wanted to "spoiler" so continued to call "him" :)
7432 hand on high board in O8. I would bluff this, as little showdown value and hope he missed the high board.
Had he checked the river i would probably go for that. But on the turn i do have some (although very tiny) showdown value and zero blocker, that's why i decided to check. Against some weaker players it would be still +EV to stab the turn once they check twice, but hotmark wasn't that kind of a player
I don't know if I am supposed to continue conversations, but I would have just bet the KQ7 flop with 7432. You missed it, but he usually is going to miss it too. I find people will fold a lot on this type of board. Of course, a good player is going to adjust some for the board rather than just play his hand, and you don't want to be c/red with the backdoor low draw and possibilities to improve for high.
Your videos are really high quality, thanks for that !
About the Stud hand at 46:30, you said you'd call 2p on the river and raise AAA. Considering he probably isn't raising many split 6's on 5th AND there is a 6 dead, doesn't it make sense to also raise any two pair on the river ?
You even said he is the kind of player to call without thinking too much.
And I would argue it's a good value raise even vs a thinking player because you are so far ahead of their range. You can just add some bluffs if they fold too much
Also I think raising naked AA on the river as a bluff is better than T9cc for example because you're blocking his best value hand which is AA. Obviously you would have to not do it every time because otherwise your bluffing way too much.
Hi
You made some good points, and i thought a lot about that hand in the past days. Despite he has a very wide value range and very few bluffs at the river, the pot was very big, so i wanted to calculate first wheter or not i can call the river.
I gave himself a loose range on 3 street:
-Ha opens rolled up 6s
-He opens every split pairs and every wired pairs (even if he has offsuit (dead) wired 5s)
-He opens every 3flushes
-He opens all straight draws with 0gap, (456, 567, 678)
Against that range on 5th street I have 28,8%
I'am not sure how he played back then. Now i assume that because he was spazzy loose agressive players he raises on 5th street with all of his pair, because my board doesn't look that scary. (Although i still have a lot of 7s, I can hit the Qh if i started with 3flushes with the Qc, and the 6x is connected to 6x), so my board isn't completed bad for me.
So, i can exclude all of the 3flushes from his range on 5th street, then i am still a big favourite (67,8%). He will have the 3flushes when he has the Js in the hole, but unfortunately i can't run a simulation for this (it's also a very small part of his range)
6th street my equity dropped down to 20,6%
7th street my equity is only 7,4%. But i have to call 2400 to win 27960. I will need 7,32% equity to breakeven with the call if he bets everything. I think that will be the case here, he bets all of his 2pairs and he will bluff if he missed his straight when he started with 57-6. If we add hands when he has Js in the hole then it will became a fold.
If he only raises 5th street with wired pairs that beats 7s (4789TJQKA), then he will have
37combos of split pair of 6s
29combos of wired pairs (but we should take the 3 combos of 44, and 1 combo of 44, because we don't beat those), so we beat 25 combos now and we are beaten by 41 combos. (not counting the fact, that he can still fill up at the river).
But my assumption is that he will raise with all of the pairs on 5th street. So even if he has a wired pair of 2s, he raise. Even if he started with 45-6 and improved to 45-6J! he raise. If that's the case he will have much-much more weaker 2pairs than three of a kind or boat. And if he calls me always as i said in the video we will definately have value to raise there. But that will be an exploitave play, because i said i expected that he payoffs with everything.
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