i noticed you called a 3bet in EP with A7s. This isnt a hand I normally open UTG let alone call 3bets with from this position. What's your reasoning for opening? In my db I lose money opening weak suited aces in EP over a large sample size and the regs don't really 3bet very wide BB vs EP
i noticed you called a 3bet in EP with A7s. This isnt a hand I normally open UTG let alone call 3bets with from this position. What's your reasoning for opening? In my db I lose money opening weak suited aces in EP over a large sample size and the regs don't really 3bet very wide BB vs EP
It should almost certainly be a +EV open, however, it's quite possible that the call against the 3b is too loose (depends on sizing/position of villain; no time stamp, so I'm just speaking in a general sense).
I noticed you auto folded Q5o in SB without facing any raises. I recently adopted the strategy of limping all hands in the SB so I'm curious why you would auto-fold such a stellar hand.
I play raise/fold from the SB. I haven't done much work on limping ranges, but I doubt that Q5o is a profitable raise against most BBs.
at 3m49 you fold the flop against a cbet with a backdoor flushdraw on a dry-ish board. What hands would you bluffraise here and why not float or bluffraise this hand? Also, any consideration to 3betting preflop? We have position and villain will be in tough spot to continue with a lot of hands
I'll occasionally 3b this hand preflop. However, it'd be very easy to overdo this and end up with an absurd 3b% if you're not careful. OTF I don't think continuing every BDFD Q high will be profitable vs 3/4 pot. Something like Q6cc seems closer (BDSD). This also isn't a flop that I'd 2b terribly often against a 3/4 sizing (against a smaller sizing with which I believe the villain is cbing more often, I would increase my 2b%).
at 23m41 you bet/call the turn with the ace of clubs nut flush draw getting quite good potodds. I still think this is a fold and if not then shouldve been bet smaller so that it can be a bet/fold. Villain's range here is flushes mostly and some sets against which you have less than 18% equity.
ryan:
at 23:29 w AQ getting double C/Rsed, I think you have to fold the turn. You're not getting the right price and you never have the best hand. Your outs are blocked occasionally, much are unclean(A and Q are never good, gutters are no good vs made flushes)
hurt:
Betting the turn on the AQ hand at 23 minutes is horrible imo. Just take your equity, and if he just has a Jx hand he may fold on a blank river to a bet as you'd rep QQ+ well.
jasun:
t 0.5/1 stake level. do you think opponents bluff frequently enough to make your turn call(AQ or with gunshot) +EV?
I agree that I butchered this hand OTT. Awkward sizing choice, poor interpretation of range vs range interactions, etc. I deserve the heat for this one.
at 27min mark you call a 3bet OOP with 65s, near the bottom of your range. Any reason for this seemingly -EV call?
Yes, the reason is that I thought it would be +EV. It does seem quite close, and I can't say with certainty that it is +EV. However, I'm more inclined to continue with these type of hands than say something like KJo. I don't think "bottom of range" is the best description in this context given that something like KJo is higher up in a hand range chart, but 65s probably plays much better.
I think a 4b bluff is good spot for A7s utg we block out a lot AA,AK type hands and if he does try to slow play us with like KK we have 33% equity with position. Calling a 3b meh I don't care for it. I think even folding pre with A7s is fine against a table where the co and btn have high 3b percentage. But folding it is fine just a little nitty it does play well especially if we have a fish in the blinds imo anyways.
I noticed you auto folded Q5o in SB without facing any raises. I recently adopted the strategy of limping all hands in the SB so I'm curious why you would auto-fold such a stellar hand.
at 3m49 you fold the flop against a cbet with a backdoor flushdraw on a dry-ish board. What hands would you bluffraise here and why not float or bluffraise this hand? Also, any consideration to 3betting preflop? We have position and villain will be in tough spot to continue with a lot of hands
at 23m41 you bet/call the turn with the ace of clubs nut flush draw getting quite good potodds. I still think this is a fold and if not then shouldve been bet smaller so that it can be a bet/fold. Villain's range here is flushes mostly and some sets against which you have less than 18% equity.
You'll have to be more specific as it depends on board texture. More often than not, I'm using a singular bet sizing OTF. Thus, if you see me using a given sizing OTF for a vbet, most bluffs will likely use the same sizing.
at 23:29 w AQ getting double C/Rsed, I think you have to fold the turn. You're not getting the right price and you never have the best hand. Your outs are blocked occasionally, much are unclean(A and Q are never good, gutters are no good vs made flushes)
Betting the turn on the AQ hand at 23 minutes is horrible imo. Just take your equity, and if he just has a Jx hand he may fold on a blank river to a bet as you'd rep QQ+ well.
On the very first hand where you open T5s on the button, have you adjusted your open size considering there is a short stack in the SB? Is adjusting open sizing here something worth doing when the blinds are not on deep stacks?
On the very first hand where you open T5s on the button, have you adjusted your open size considering there is a short stack in the SB? Is adjusting open sizing here something worth doing when the blinds are not on deep stacks?
Given that my default open size is 2.4x, I don't think I'm giving up much by not adjusting my sizing here. I think it's more important to adjust your opening range itself rather than the opening sizing (which probably makes an almost insignificant difference).
1:35 - why is the 8 a good card for you? You opened from UTG and called when the BB 3bet you.
His 87s combos are likely played as a mix pre, whereas I'll always open/call 3b with them. Further, 88 will be in my preflop range much more often than his. He also may not be betting flop with 88 at a high frequency (though it depends on his exact strategy), whereas I'll always be calling flop with 88. Also, I think I have 65s here more often than he does.
3:30 - You probed turn for a rather large sizing with TT, and explained how you can get value from A7s, A5 and A6. I would have thought those hands should be Cbets on the flop, is this incorrect?
I think most of those hands that you listed check back flop (he's probably checking a pretty large portion of his range). This texture is one that connects really nicely with the SB flatting range.
10:35 - When the villain shows up with the KT with Kh, you say you think he played his hand fine, especially with the heart blocker. This confused me a bit, shouldn't the heart blocker make his hand better for bluffing river?
Most of your range is ahead of the pair of tens correct? Should he ever consider bluffing the river in this exact situation? Shouldn't the heart make it an even better bluff?
Sorry, I should have been more clear regarding what I meant about liking him having the heart. I basically meant that I like his turn barrel. OTR I think his check back is good. He'll have plenty of hands worse than 2nd pair that he can bluff. I do occasionally show up with a worse hand (some 9x or a hand like JT).
3:30 - You probed turn for a rather large sizing with TT, and explained how you can get value from A7s, A5 and A6. I would have thought those hands should be Cbets on the flop, is this incorrect?
10:35 - When the villain shows up with the KT with Kh, you say you think he played his hand fine, especially with the heart blocker. This confused me a bit, shouldn't the heart blocker make his hand better for bluffing river?
Most of your range is ahead of the pair of tens correct? Should he ever consider bluffing the river in this exact situation? Shouldn't the heart make it an even better bluff?
@20:30, AKo on 744hh,5o, what part of your range checks back turn and then overbets river and calls X/R? Your Turn checkback with AKo seemed to expose you to an exploitive river X/R if you never/rarely have 77 or 4x. IMO many more lower stakes players are aware of this exploit now as it has been publicised widely by various twitch streams.
I agree that my play here was probably a mistake. I'm betting flop really often, and then check turn fairly often. Thus, I will occasionally have some really good hands like AA and KK here. However, I don't think my range will contain nearly enough KK, 77, 55, or 4x to justify an overbet. I think my opponent will see the K river as one that I'll bet at a high frequency and thus choose to leave an appropriate amount of nutty hands in his range to x/r river with. This last part is the key IMO and what I didn't consider during the video.
AQo hand @ 18:00 where you C3B, C 843r XB 5 and XB J:
I fullheartedly agree with both the call OTF and the check OTT. Yet OTR, if you don't turn your AQ - at least sometimes - into a bluf, aren't you lacking blufs?
Or would you OTF float so wide, where you would checkback OTT with all kinds of AxXx which had a BDFD OTF, to turn into a bluf OTR, before you have to start bluffing hands like AQ?
I would be floating flop against 1/2 pot with some K/Q high + BDFD hands and also some BDSD+BDFD hands (such as T9ss). These hands will often, but not always, check the turn. However, I believe I will check them often enough such that I can simply use those as bluffs OTR and rarely, if ever, bluff AQ OTR as played.
A5dd @ 15:30 where you C PF, XB T52cc, C 4 (100%) and F 4 (100%).
I agree it isn't a bluffcatching spot OTR, yet is it a fine candidate for a blufraise OTR?
I assume your defending TT, 44, A3s, A4s, potentially 54s and XB OTF a non-zero percentage with all of them. And now OTR, all those hands seem valueraises to me, agree?
Therefore, it makes sense to add bluffing hands and A5 seems to me one of the better ones to add, blocking 55, AA and A3s.
A5dd @ 15:30 where you C PF, XB T52cc, C 4 (100%) and F 4 (100%).
I agree it isn't a bluffcatching spot OTR, yet is it a fine candidate for a blufraise OTR?
I assume your defending TT, 44, A3s, A4s, potentially 54s and XB OTF a non-zero percentage with all of them. And now OTR, all those hands seem valueraises to me, agree?
Therefore, it makes sense to add bluffing hands and A5 seems to me one of the better ones to add, blocking 55, AA and A3s.
I agree that in theory A5s is a pretty strong bluffing candidate. However, against the short stacker playing 2 tables betting pot and pot with ~1/2 pot remaining after his river bet, I probably have little to no fold equity.
@ 19:30 where you 3B 88 on the button and bb coldcalls, and you cb small on T63ss, XB 3 and XB 6, because "you don't see opponent calling down hands like AQo OTR".
I feel like you are missing out on value here. If you bet some 33-45%, I expect a ton of calls, and I would be shocked if I were to be valuecutting myself too often to make it a profitable valuebet.
Were your analysis to be correct there are two scenario's in my opinion:
1. Villain doesn't valuebet Tx or better nearly often enough. Which makes both thin valuebetting as Well as bluffing not amazing, yet bluffing still should be +EV, because of the many Ax in range.
2. Villain his range is 80%+ of the time Ace high and will fold all of them, thereby providing an incredibly bluffing spot and even folding out chops is getting interesting.
So would you bluf river always in this scenario? And what would you do with Ax yourself?
My guess is that the villain in this hand is indeed a rec (no HH, from Peru, probably cold calling 3b more often than regs).
Thus, I think point 1 would be mostly true. I don't expect him to value bet this river with Tx too often.
I also do think, assuming villain is a rec, that this would be a good spot to over bluff OTR.
I just don't see what hands he's really calling with OTR that are worse than 88. I can't see him bluff catching A high often enough, and I also think some stronger pairs are still a concern as they may not always vbet this river (especially if it is indeed a rec and on the more passive side).
23:30, where you 3B HJ-EP holding AcQx, B/C J32cc after cbetting 24% and you B/C AI on 5c turn.
My first thought OTT was: Is a 100% XB range interesting, given the way your range and opponents interact with each other after his flop XR? To me he seems more polarised and you more blufcatch heavy. I understand that in a vacuüm hands like yours benefit from betting, but I wonder if strategywise it isn't better to checkback nearly always on this turn.
I'm not sure. We likely have more flushes given that he's not always x/r FDs. I guess it depends on how much EV we're losing by checking back flushes OTT and letting his sets realize equity. This would be a decent spot to run a PIO sim on at some point.
77 @ 33:30 where you C3B BUT-BB, X/C(35%) K53r, X 9 and F 4 (vs 42%).
Arent you overfolding if you were to fold to a double barrel OTT?
Arent you overfolding if you fold OTR?
If youre not overfolding river, isn't it a good blufraise candidate?
54s, A2s, 44, 43s, potentially a slowplay OTT sometimes. Anyway, seems like a decent spot to have a raising range, including some blufs.
In these spots I have problems selecting effective blufcatchers, since I'm not entirely sure which hands to target. Villain doesn't seem to have a bunch of nutty hands, given actions and riversizing. So even though 77 blocks the nuts (76s), I guess we need not be overly afraad to face that hand. So I guess the best hands to block are the strong kings? Making AQo the most effective bluffing hand?
I think blocking 76s is useful against the right type of villains here. If he's playing this as a high freq flop cb and decently high freq turn check, then it makes sense. However, I think a lot of players might be betting this turn too often to make 77 a particularly useful bluffing combo OTR. Also, his river sizing doesn't really represent that range either (assuming he's using more than one river sizing). I think we're better off trying to block Kx-9x in this spot as that seems to be the value region that he's representing.
@ 19:30 where you 3B 88 on the button and bb coldcalls, and you cb small on T63ss, XB 3 and XB 6, because "you don't see opponent calling down hands like AQo OTR".
I feel like you are missing out on value here. If you bet some 33-45%, I expect a ton of calls, and I would be shocked if I were to be valuecutting myself too often to make it a profitable valuebet.
Were your analysis to be correct there are two scenario's in my opinion:
1. Villain doesn't valuebet Tx or better nearly often enough. Which makes both thin valuebetting as Well as bluffing not amazing, yet bluffing still should be +EV, because of the many Ax in range.
2. Villain his range is 80%+ of the time Ace high and will fold all of them, thereby providing an incredibly bluffing spot and even folding out chops is getting interesting.
So would you bluf river always in this scenario? And what would you do with Ax yourself?
23:30, where you 3B HJ-EP holding AcQx, B/C J32cc after cbetting 24% and you B/C AI on 5c turn.
My first thought OTT was: Is a 100% XB range interesting, given the way your range and opponents interact with each other after his flop XR? To me he seems more polarised and you more blufcatch heavy. I understand that in a vacuüm hands like yours benefit from betting, but I wonder if strategywise it isn't better to checkback nearly always on this turn.
77 @ 33:30 where you C3B BUT-BB, X/C(35%) K53r, X 9 and F 4 (vs 42%).
Arent you overfolding if you were to fold to a double barrel OTT?
Arent you overfolding if you fold OTR?
If youre not overfolding river, isn't it a good blufraise candidate?
54s, A2s, 44, 43s, potentially a slowplay OTT sometimes. Anyway, seems like a decent spot to have a raising range, including some blufs.
In these spots I have problems selecting effective blufcatchers, since I'm not entirely sure which hands to target. Villain doesn't seem to have a bunch of nutty hands, given actions and riversizing. So even though 77 blocks the nuts (76s), I guess we need not be overly afraad to face that hand. So I guess the best hands to block are the strong kings? Making AQo the most effective bluffing hand?
you said in min:17:21, that you would have c/r range on the Turn. You had A9s, but you didnt c/r.
Which hands would you c/r there. I thought the same, but i thought, if you c/r A9 there, you might c/r all you 9x hands, and this might be too much?
In min:26:12 you keep barreling vs. recreational player. You have improved equity, but you also need fold-equity. Do you think a rec player is going to fold on the turn, once he called the flop. And the J even improves some of his backdoors like AQ,KQ,J9. Wouldn´t be a check back better?
you said in min:17:21, that you would have c/r range on the Turn. You had A9s, but you didnt c/r.
Which hands would you c/r there. I thought the same, but i thought, if you c/r A9 there, you might c/r all you 9x hands, and this might be too much?
I'm not sure I have any other 9x worse than A high. However, I think a 9 might not be the best card to use for our x/r bluff combos. Though we block 96, he likely only has the suited variants anyways. On the other hand, a decent portion of his bluffing combos OTT contain a 9.
We might be better off using hands like 65 and 76 as x/r bluffs.
In min:26:12 you keep barreling vs. recreational player. You have improved equity, but you also need fold-equity. Do you think a rec player is going to fold on the turn, once he called the flop. And the J even improves some of his backdoors like AQ,KQ,J9. Wouldn´t be a check back better?
I don't have a huge preference between bet or check OTT. I pretty much still agree with my thought process during the video. Like I mentioned in the video, I do think there are hands that fold turn such as A7 and A6. It also wouldn't surprise me to see him show up with other 7 and 6 combos that contain a broadway card. I was actually more surprised to see him have QQ than I would have been to see Q7 OTT. And obviously it's reasonable to assume he has AQ and KQ often, if not every time, in his preflop calling range having seen QQ, I would not have previously assumed he always has them preflop and OTF.
Hey Paul
1:50 with A7s why is the 8 a good card for you? I would guess a typical 3betting range there is hands like 56s,78s, and 89s. And wouldnt you usually fold most of these hands to a 3bet?
Thanks :)
@30min do you consider folding 777 on 742-3-9??
You got raised on the river, and your hand needs 27% equity to break even.
I ran the hand with flopzilla and if villian is raising every single set on the river (12 combos) and every single straight (32 combos) your hand has an equity of 16% only.
Loading 37 Comments...
i noticed you called a 3bet in EP with A7s. This isnt a hand I normally open UTG let alone call 3bets with from this position. What's your reasoning for opening? In my db I lose money opening weak suited aces in EP over a large sample size and the regs don't really 3bet very wide BB vs EP
Hey del, thanks for all the questions.
It should almost certainly be a +EV open, however, it's quite possible that the call against the 3b is too loose (depends on sizing/position of villain; no time stamp, so I'm just speaking in a general sense).
I play raise/fold from the SB. I haven't done much work on limping ranges, but I doubt that Q5o is a profitable raise against most BBs.
I'll occasionally 3b this hand preflop. However, it'd be very easy to overdo this and end up with an absurd 3b% if you're not careful. OTF I don't think continuing every BDFD Q high will be profitable vs 3/4 pot. Something like Q6cc seems closer (BDSD). This also isn't a flop that I'd 2b terribly often against a 3/4 sizing (against a smaller sizing with which I believe the villain is cbing more often, I would increase my 2b%).
ryan:
hurt:
jasun:
I agree that I butchered this hand OTT. Awkward sizing choice, poor interpretation of range vs range interactions, etc. I deserve the heat for this one.
Yes, the reason is that I thought it would be +EV. It does seem quite close, and I can't say with certainty that it is +EV. However, I'm more inclined to continue with these type of hands than say something like KJo. I don't think "bottom of range" is the best description in this context given that something like KJo is higher up in a hand range chart, but 65s probably plays much better.
I think a 4b bluff is good spot for A7s utg we block out a lot AA,AK type hands and if he does try to slow play us with like KK we have 33% equity with position. Calling a 3b meh I don't care for it. I think even folding pre with A7s is fine against a table where the co and btn have high 3b percentage. But folding it is fine just a little nitty it does play well especially if we have a fish in the blinds imo anyways.
I noticed you auto folded Q5o in SB without facing any raises. I recently adopted the strategy of limping all hands in the SB so I'm curious why you would auto-fold such a stellar hand.
at 3m49 you fold the flop against a cbet with a backdoor flushdraw on a dry-ish board. What hands would you bluffraise here and why not float or bluffraise this hand? Also, any consideration to 3betting preflop? We have position and villain will be in tough spot to continue with a lot of hands
at 23m41 you bet/call the turn with the ace of clubs nut flush draw getting quite good potodds. I still think this is a fold and if not then shouldve been bet smaller so that it can be a bet/fold. Villain's range here is flushes mostly and some sets against which you have less than 18% equity.
at 27min mark you call a 3bet OOP with 65s, near the bottom of your range. Any reason for this seemingly -EV call?
t 0.5/1 stake level. do you think opponents bluff frequently enough to make your turn call(AQ or with gunshot) +EV?
Several times you bet small for thin value, I guess you do have bluff too in those spots. How do you choose which sizings using when bluffing ?
You'll have to be more specific as it depends on board texture. More often than not, I'm using a singular bet sizing OTF. Thus, if you see me using a given sizing OTF for a vbet, most bluffs will likely use the same sizing.
at 23:29 w AQ getting double C/Rsed, I think you have to fold the turn. You're not getting the right price and you never have the best hand. Your outs are blocked occasionally, much are unclean(A and Q are never good, gutters are no good vs made flushes)
Betting the turn on the AQ hand at 23 minutes is horrible imo. Just take your equity, and if he just has a Jx hand he may fold on a blank river to a bet as you'd rep QQ+ well.
Also at 31 mins I don't like calling 74s vs 3x utg. Think it's very marginal at best
On the very first hand where you open T5s on the button, have you adjusted your open size considering there is a short stack in the SB? Is adjusting open sizing here something worth doing when the blinds are not on deep stacks?
Hey Strug,
Given that my default open size is 2.4x, I don't think I'm giving up much by not adjusting my sizing here. I think it's more important to adjust your opening range itself rather than the opening sizing (which probably makes an almost insignificant difference).
His 87s combos are likely played as a mix pre, whereas I'll always open/call 3b with them. Further, 88 will be in my preflop range much more often than his. He also may not be betting flop with 88 at a high frequency (though it depends on his exact strategy), whereas I'll always be calling flop with 88. Also, I think I have 65s here more often than he does.
I think most of those hands that you listed check back flop (he's probably checking a pretty large portion of his range). This texture is one that connects really nicely with the SB flatting range.
Sorry, I should have been more clear regarding what I meant about liking him having the heart. I basically meant that I like his turn barrel. OTR I think his check back is good. He'll have plenty of hands worse than 2nd pair that he can bluff. I do occasionally show up with a worse hand (some 9x or a hand like JT).
1:35 - why is the 8 a good card for you? You opened from UTG and called when the BB 3bet you.
3:30 - You probed turn for a rather large sizing with TT, and explained how you can get value from A7s, A5 and A6. I would have thought those hands should be Cbets on the flop, is this incorrect?
At 18.30min why didn't you bet there with QQ after his 2 c/b on A high board? I think he can call with a lot of worse hands.
He didn't check back twice, he bet turn.
10:35 - When the villain shows up with the KT with Kh, you say you think he played his hand fine, especially with the heart blocker. This confused me a bit, shouldn't the heart blocker make his hand better for bluffing river?
Most of your range is ahead of the pair of tens correct? Should he ever consider bluffing the river in this exact situation? Shouldn't the heart make it an even better bluff?
i smell trolls
think you are loose passive
@20:30, AKo on 744hh,5o, what part of your range checks back turn and then overbets river and calls X/R? Your Turn checkback with AKo seemed to expose you to an exploitive river X/R if you never/rarely have 77 or 4x. IMO many more lower stakes players are aware of this exploit now as it has been publicised widely by various twitch streams.
You always have very well thought out comments.
I agree that my play here was probably a mistake. I'm betting flop really often, and then check turn fairly often. Thus, I will occasionally have some really good hands like AA and KK here. However, I don't think my range will contain nearly enough KK, 77, 55, or 4x to justify an overbet. I think my opponent will see the K river as one that I'll bet at a high frequency and thus choose to leave an appropriate amount of nutty hands in his range to x/r river with. This last part is the key IMO and what I didn't consider during the video.
AQo hand @ 18:00 where you C3B, C 843r XB 5 and XB J:
I fullheartedly agree with both the call OTF and the check OTT. Yet OTR, if you don't turn your AQ - at least sometimes - into a bluf, aren't you lacking blufs?
Or would you OTF float so wide, where you would checkback OTT with all kinds of AxXx which had a BDFD OTF, to turn into a bluf OTR, before you have to start bluffing hands like AQ?
El,
I would be floating flop against 1/2 pot with some K/Q high + BDFD hands and also some BDSD+BDFD hands (such as T9ss). These hands will often, but not always, check the turn. However, I believe I will check them often enough such that I can simply use those as bluffs OTR and rarely, if ever, bluff AQ OTR as played.
A5dd @ 15:30 where you C PF, XB T52cc, C 4 (100%) and F 4 (100%).
I agree it isn't a bluffcatching spot OTR, yet is it a fine candidate for a blufraise OTR?
I assume your defending TT, 44, A3s, A4s, potentially 54s and XB OTF a non-zero percentage with all of them. And now OTR, all those hands seem valueraises to me, agree?
Therefore, it makes sense to add bluffing hands and A5 seems to me one of the better ones to add, blocking 55, AA and A3s.
I agree that in theory A5s is a pretty strong bluffing candidate. However, against the short stacker playing 2 tables betting pot and pot with ~1/2 pot remaining after his river bet, I probably have little to no fold equity.
My guess is that the villain in this hand is indeed a rec (no HH, from Peru, probably cold calling 3b more often than regs).
Thus, I think point 1 would be mostly true. I don't expect him to value bet this river with Tx too often.
I also do think, assuming villain is a rec, that this would be a good spot to over bluff OTR.
I just don't see what hands he's really calling with OTR that are worse than 88. I can't see him bluff catching A high often enough, and I also think some stronger pairs are still a concern as they may not always vbet this river (especially if it is indeed a rec and on the more passive side).
I'm not sure. We likely have more flushes given that he's not always x/r FDs. I guess it depends on how much EV we're losing by checking back flushes OTT and letting his sets realize equity. This would be a decent spot to run a PIO sim on at some point.
I think blocking 76s is useful against the right type of villains here. If he's playing this as a high freq flop cb and decently high freq turn check, then it makes sense. However, I think a lot of players might be betting this turn too often to make 77 a particularly useful bluffing combo OTR. Also, his river sizing doesn't really represent that range either (assuming he's using more than one river sizing). I think we're better off trying to block Kx-9x in this spot as that seems to be the value region that he's representing.
@ 19:30 where you 3B 88 on the button and bb coldcalls, and you cb small on T63ss, XB 3 and XB 6, because "you don't see opponent calling down hands like AQo OTR".
I feel like you are missing out on value here. If you bet some 33-45%, I expect a ton of calls, and I would be shocked if I were to be valuecutting myself too often to make it a profitable valuebet.
Were your analysis to be correct there are two scenario's in my opinion:
1. Villain doesn't valuebet Tx or better nearly often enough. Which makes both thin valuebetting as Well as bluffing not amazing, yet bluffing still should be +EV, because of the many Ax in range.
2. Villain his range is 80%+ of the time Ace high and will fold all of them, thereby providing an incredibly bluffing spot and even folding out chops is getting interesting.
So would you bluf river always in this scenario? And what would you do with Ax yourself?
23:30, where you 3B HJ-EP holding AcQx, B/C J32cc after cbetting 24% and you B/C AI on 5c turn.
My first thought OTT was: Is a 100% XB range interesting, given the way your range and opponents interact with each other after his flop XR? To me he seems more polarised and you more blufcatch heavy. I understand that in a vacuüm hands like yours benefit from betting, but I wonder if strategywise it isn't better to checkback nearly always on this turn.
77 @ 33:30 where you C3B BUT-BB, X/C(35%) K53r, X 9 and F 4 (vs 42%).
Arent you overfolding if you were to fold to a double barrel OTT?
Arent you overfolding if you fold OTR?
If youre not overfolding river, isn't it a good blufraise candidate?
54s, A2s, 44, 43s, potentially a slowplay OTT sometimes. Anyway, seems like a decent spot to have a raising range, including some blufs.
In these spots I have problems selecting effective blufcatchers, since I'm not entirely sure which hands to target. Villain doesn't seem to have a bunch of nutty hands, given actions and riversizing. So even though 77 blocks the nuts (76s), I guess we need not be overly afraad to face that hand. So I guess the best hands to block are the strong kings? Making AQo the most effective bluffing hand?
Hi Paul,
you said in min:17:21, that you would have c/r range on the Turn. You had A9s, but you didnt c/r.
Which hands would you c/r there. I thought the same, but i thought, if you c/r A9 there, you might c/r all you 9x hands, and this might be too much?
In min:26:12 you keep barreling vs. recreational player. You have improved equity, but you also need fold-equity. Do you think a rec player is going to fold on the turn, once he called the flop. And the J even improves some of his backdoors like AQ,KQ,J9. Wouldn´t be a check back better?
Hey Zoty,
I'm not sure I have any other 9x worse than A high. However, I think a 9 might not be the best card to use for our x/r bluff combos. Though we block 96, he likely only has the suited variants anyways. On the other hand, a decent portion of his bluffing combos OTT contain a 9.
We might be better off using hands like 65 and 76 as x/r bluffs.
I don't have a huge preference between bet or check OTT. I pretty much still agree with my thought process during the video. Like I mentioned in the video, I do think there are hands that fold turn such as A7 and A6. It also wouldn't surprise me to see him show up with other 7 and 6 combos that contain a broadway card. I was actually more surprised to see him have QQ than I would have been to see Q7 OTT. And obviously it's reasonable to assume he has AQ and KQ often, if not every time, in his preflop calling range having seen QQ, I would not have previously assumed he always has them preflop and OTF.
Hey Paul
1:50 with A7s why is the 8 a good card for you? I would guess a typical 3betting range there is hands like 56s,78s, and 89s. And wouldnt you usually fold most of these hands to a 3bet?
Thanks :)
See my reply above to StrugLife. I definitely would not usually fold 98s and 87s preflop to a 3b.
@30min do you consider folding 777 on 742-3-9??
You got raised on the river, and your hand needs 27% equity to break even.
I ran the hand with flopzilla and if villian is raising every single set on the river (12 combos) and every single straight (32 combos) your hand has an equity of 16% only.
just curious why do yo ucb 1/3rd pot in sr and 3b pots? Wont people float and bluff raise more often?
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.