2 Table $2.5/$5 6-Max Zoom PLO (part 3)
Posted by Jens Kyllönen
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@17min with the Kh8h87 on the river. I'm not the best with math so maybe someone can make some calculation in this spot, but wouldn't check raising be an option?
With his sizing, your blocker and previous street action, his range his mostly Ah blocker or the nut flush, rarely a Full House, so maybe check shove is better than a call? I can see KKAh or other Ks betting the turn as a semi bluff, but some might check back as well and you block Ks. I see Qs checking back a lot more since you could have Ks yourself and it would be a bad bet with Qs on the turn agst your range, same for 9s or 7s + you block 7s as well, so his turn betting range is mostly nut flush or NF blocker. I don't know tho because he might check back NF on the river and thus have much more bluffs and thus calling would be better.
Thoughts?
btw I really like your videos and if you are looking for ideas, a 4bet video against aggressive restealer would be a great subject. Thanks
I'm not sure I like it, especially without history I can't know how likely he is to fold the nut flush and he could really easily have a fullhouse. I also don't have many fullhouses I want to c/r on the river, perhaps a blank QQxx and some very rare K9xx. And last rather block KQxx and not have any flush cards in my hand to maximize his chances of flushes instead of fullhouses.
In the 9653cc hand (37:40) you say you're broking on every turn except 7 and 2. I ran a few PJ simulations and it seems that we also have a pretty clear fold on any A/K/Q/J turn except clubs (and Ac is still kinda close). We need a bit over 35% eq to stack off OTT, but we don't ever really have more than 30% on those cards even against overly wide ranges. Calling flop to dodge bad turns still seems to be clearly better than shoving, though, so wp :)
True, a non club A is a fold for sure, other overcards become really close and probably veeery marginal folds.
Jeans - @10:38, you fold QJ99 from the CO with a seemingly tight BTN and tight BB. Your thoughts? This is a spot I open...
the hand right before that one also surprised me when he folded, same table w/ QJJ4 (three diamonds) against sb 3b to 35 and a pot of 50. i guess the hand looks better than it is but with those odds and position on the PF3Ber i would have called
jeans, saw you make several tight (or at least i thought so) folds UTG in the first half of vid (KQ56ds, KJ97 J hi suit).....also 9872 w suit otb unopened......can you go into ur thoughts on these folds specifically? do you fold them in zoom and not in reg games? assuming you would maybe fold them in tougher/higher stakes games but curious to hear your reasoning nonetheless
Hi Jens: I wanted to ask you about the comment you tweeted about people going broke 4 betting double suited AA. I ran some sims and it seems they are about 60-65% against most other good hands but when I added another high card hand to the mix even AAds and connected with broadway cards dropped sharply in value because I guess of card removal. So if you get 4 bet you're just going to call and see a flop especially if you don't think you can get them hu?
about the KQ7hh9hhh9x hand where you called with K8hh7x instead of check shoving. Arent our blockers fairly relevant to block his full houses? and also more importantly, dont people usually check back in his shoes with sets on the turn? unless they also have a flush to go with them? Was his stack size a consideration as well? Like if he had more would you be more prone to check shove? Maybe people bet this spot in his shoes with sets more than i would expect on the turn (im new to PLO)
Anyways, thanks for your videos, theyre the besttttt !
You are amazing Jeans89!
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