$1k Punta Cana Satellite (part 2)
Posted by Jeremy Menard
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For the KJs hand at 10:10, I'd be ranging him pretty exclusively on Q9 and KQ for value on the turn. With his two pairs and that part of his value he'd tend to raise a bit larger, maybe jam here for protection on a pretty dynamic board. I don't think this raise size is good then if he is now only repping the nuts, meaning I think it's fair to assume he's making some big mistakes post.
Playing according to that, against this type of player we can assume he's underbluffing when using this sizing, especially since all of his bluffs want to apply a lot more pressure to your tons of calling hands on this board. Unless he's a strong player applying a serious exploit after seeing you overfold earlier and he's planning on jamming rivers, it's a bit of a crazy bluff spot overall.
Edit: I heard you right after talking about his barrel down on the 92s hand (Sorry I had watched the first 9 min or so earlier and forgot I saw that). If he's repping such a thin value range, it'd be worth seeing what all of his potential bluff combos are in a spot like this when we know this player can triple in some loose spots. He could end up overbluffing here, but I stand by my sizing comment where most of his bluffs will size up a bit on that raise.
I agree that his raise sizing on the turn is suspect to say the least. This is certainly not a board that makes much sense for him to raise the turn to begin with, and then to choose the size that he does is even more out of the ordinary. This villain did show he's capable of some fairly bizarre bluffs in the first video of this series, and that's why I really wasn't sure what to do when he raised the turn here. He should be raising the turn with almost exclusively straights, given that he really shouldn't have any sets and all his two pairs are incentivized to raise the flop because of the amount of draws present. Given his incredibly narrow range for raising the turn I was very perplexed by his line, especially considering that I also had a K in my hand giving him less combos of KQ. I don't think we can fold the turn due to his small raise sizing, but since this is a satellite and chips are at a premium it's really difficult to justify a call on the river.
How many seats were what was average stack for seat etc just for some context.
12 seats were awarded and the average stack size is actually displayed in the top left corner of the hand history replayer via the PT4 HUD.
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