Hey

18:50, our x/c range isn't totally weak because we're still sometimes flatting AK on SB vs a tight MP. So we can have that in our x/c range. About x/r or not with 88 and AQ, I think it depends on our pre-flop range. If we're flatting enough suited broadways and high suited connectors that we can x/r bluff with, then we should be x/r with those. If we're not flatting enough of those hands pre, we should probably just x/c our entire continuing range vs good opponents. Thinking about it now, vs sphinmx I should probably just x/c, because I'm not calling as many suited broadways as I would vs someone who isn't as tight.

22:10, yes, it's probably best to bet there, and continue on later streets. I probably just gave up because I was distracted by other actions. But that is enough at the bottom of our range to go in our bluffing range. And I'm calling a tight enough range from CO vs MP that he can't keep calling me down with good A highs.

Hi Felipe I am very impressed by the quality of your vids and sure like youre hud layout. Would be nice to give a complete rundown of every position if you are willing to. I think al the stats you have in there are sure worth looking at. Thnx in advance for youre feedback.

Hey!

Vs 8% I'm probably only 3betting KK+ for value, and then I can use A4/A5s to balance. 

Hey Chael, thanks!

@99 vs fish - yes, I would fold vs a 4bet, and it does play poor on general in 3bet pots, but not vs fish. They are going to call a wide range and make too many mistakes pos-flop to make it good. And he is never 4bet bluffing (most fish never do), so it's different then vs a reg that 4bets a small frequency (which we still can't 5bet jam), because that reg will still 4bet bluff sometimes, so we end up being bluffed sometimes.
But you're thinking is correct, and won't 3bet it vs regulars that don't 4bet enough for me to 5bet jam, for the reasons you mentioned.

17:08, yeah, I cut it because some entered my room at the time and spoke, so I didn't want their voice in the video. But it wasn't very interesting situation, I think a flatted and x/f the flop. unless he is 4betting a ridiculous huge amount, shoving is really bad this deep.
On general, flatting is better this deep. I probably 3bet because I was distracted for talking and playing at the same time. But 100 bb it's ok to 3bet, specially because it's often good enough to 5bet jam vs players 4betting too much.

26:43 - Yes, you could value bet, because so many draws missed, so he could hero call with a small pair or A high. The only problem is that our range is capped, I won't slow play a 9 very often because it's a limped pot and I want to put money in the pot. So he could x/r a ton very effectively with all his 9x/boats and bluffs.
So I think that the decision to vbet the river or not should be based on his tendencies, if he is someone smart and aggressive that can take advantage of your capped range, we should check-back, if he is more on the station passive type, we should bet.

27:45 - Yes, I think I should bet a little bigger on the turn because of how draw heavy it is. But on the river I think my sizing is pretty good. On a more blank river I think I should be bigger, just because I have so many more bluffs in my range. But on this river, I think my sizing is pretty good for the value to bluff ratio in my range. TJ/KJ/KT got there, so my only bluffs might be missed hearts and 7x, which aren't enough combos to compensate going for a bigger sizing, given that we have so many value combos in our range (TJo, all the 2pair and sets, T7, 75s, AA, some KX…). And the fact that you had KQ that time is not relevant, as we're playing vs your whole range :)

33:26 - The "take off a chop" thing doesn't work so much in this situation because it's MP vs UTG, so none of us has too many low AX in our range. And I think even the sizing I used was too big, I have very few bluffs in my range, given my UTG range, so I should probably bet somewhere between 1/3 and half pot.

44:25 - I think that theoretically I should definitely call, since I'm at the top of my range. But I just felt like this isn't a spot people over bluff very often, because their range is already strong enough and I'm too often check-folding the flop with my air that I cbet and give up. So I think that he doesn't need to use this sizing as a bluff, and just felt like he wouldn't and was probably doing it for value hoping I might level myself for some reason.
But I could be wrong, and if I am, it's a pretty exploitable and bad fold. But I just felt like he wasn't bluffing enough of the time.

45:50 - Yeah, it might be better. Although making it 20, the BB is more likely to shove a hand like 66 or something like that, because he feels he still has fold equity. Sure, we're never bluffing because we 3bet a 20 bb fish who opened to 3.5x, but we could be 3betting some "light value" stuff to get it in vs him, and the BB could expect to still have a lot of fold equity vs our range.
And it's also not the end of the world, on any other board structure that isn't AKx we can get it in. Even if it's KJx, or QJx, he'll still have enough AX in his range for us to be able to get it in with such a low SPR. So we're not that worried about having to x/f the flop, it's only on AKx basically, or Axx all hearts or something like that.

47:57 - He doesn't have a lot of bluffs. He check-called as the PFR on a monotone board, that's almost always a hand with showdown value. So it's very hard for him to be bluffing. I said he could play AhT and AhK that way, but I don't think he will, I think he'll cbet the vast majority of the time, and might just check the river for having showdown value.
And about him value betting worse, he is probably not check-calling under pairs, although he could maybe x/c a hand like 99 with a heart, but even then, I don't think he should or will value bet them on the river. So like I said in the analyses, the only worse value he might have is QT, but even that he is very likely to just check the river, and it's only 2 combos as he is not opening QTo UTG.
So looking at it now I think we it's definitely a fold. It's a super exploitable fold, because we're at the very top of our range, but I just think no one at this stakes are building their range balanced enough on this situation, just by not check-calling enough non-showdown value hands (hence the importance of sometimes check-calling some non-showdown value hands as the previous street aggressor, as I mentioned in my first video).

50:12 - yeah, like I mention, although it might seem like I cbet all my air on that spot, it's not true, because people's range for calling in the SB vs UTG is too strong. So I will give up with some of my air, and that is a good hand to balance that. His range is usually something like 88-QQ, AQ/AK or something like that, so if I think I'll extract the same amount of value from 88-JJ by cbetting flop or checking-back (two streets tops), it's good to do it and have some protection in my cbh range.

54:30 - It could be a viable option. I just decided to x/f the flop there, but x/r seems like a good options sometimes. If it's someone you play a lot with, you definitely shouldn't do it, because that would make you x/r bluff way too often, so you should do it with better hands, like having a backdoor flush draw at least, so your frequency isn't too high.

Hi,

Probably some flush draws that have showdown value. And no, because his turn calling range contains too many 1 heart combos, which is exactly why we bluff the river (too many no-pair 1 heart hands)

65cc doesn't look to be anything more than "he probably doesn't have a boat, so I'm all in"

6:30, yes, you're right. We have a lot of sets/two pair in our flop checking range, but not on our turn betting range. That was definitely a mistake by me, not realizing that. But I don't think he'll ever cbh with 2p or sets on the flop, because he thinks he is good enough to get it in vs our x/r range (we can have AhK and stuff like that). So I think it still could be fine to do it on the river, because we can still have flushes and KQ. But realizing that now, I would say it was a bad play. Thanks :)

Yes, I think he should consider checking back a queen vs good aggressive players, or bet/calling vs too aggressive/spew ones (maybe me, in that particular case).

Yes, you might be right. I was really lost on that turn. But I think you're right, I should probably be checking that card every time.
Probably never check-raising though. We could be drawing dead with flush draws (as we actually were in that case), and there is still too much money behind. So we should probably x/c with both our full houses and some of our draws. The problem is that we have no showdown value with our 86dd, but have a gutter to go with it, so it feels kinda gross check-folding. But it might be right play.

I talked about that already in my answer to chael sonen, I cut the video because another person talked and I didn't want that in the video. I didn't remember what I did, so I looked in holdem manager now and yes, I folded to his 4bet.

About looking way too much with not enough sample, that's a mistake I think I do make sometimes. Could you please tell me one specific spot ?

Hi!

On pokerstars you have a time bank, which every time you use it get's smaller. So there can be a point where you have 0 time bank, and you can only think through the standard time to make your decision. If that happens, you can just close the tables and reopen them, and your time bank will be renewed.

gotcha!

No, you should never fold, I'm definitely value-betting way worse then Q9 too. I said it wasn't relevant to my decision with sizing, because you said something like "you should go bigger because I had KQ and would call anyway"

Thanks man!

If the button is super aggro, my first adjustment is to tighten my opening range a little bit. If he flats too many 4bets, we can definitely 4bet for value with AQ, since he'll call with too many dominated hands. A good thing to look for would be how is his 3betting range, if it's polarized or more linear. If it's linear, meaning he is 3betting hands like KQ and AJ on BTN vs CO instead of flatting, then 4betting is more attractive, since he'll flat with dominated hands. You should also make your sizing a bit bigger like you said with your entire 4betting range if he flats too much.

Hey,

I don't see much point in doing that, I don't think we get called by worse or make better fold. What is your idea behind the lead ?