What is my highest EV play on this turn?
Posted by RiverOfTears
Posted by RiverOfTears posted in Mid Stakes
What is my highest EV play on this turn?
BN: $90.12
SB: $213.56 (Hero)
BB: $150.84
UTG: $314.29
HJ: $222.34
CO: $204.60
SB: $213.56 (Hero)
BB: $150.84
UTG: $314.29
HJ: $222.34
CO: $204.60
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
8
T
A
UTG folds, HJ raises to $5.36, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $4.36, BB folds
UTG folds, HJ raises to $5.36, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $4.36, BB folds
Flop
($12.72)
2
J
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $8,
Hero calls $8
Turn
($28.72)
2
J
K
8
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $21
Villains opening range from MP is 25%. SPR on the turn is 7.2.
Villains cbet % on F/T are 68/56 on average. I think on this board it might be a bit higher. But based on his stats I think he has KJ+ about 17% of the time.
What is my highest EV play at this SPR? XC or XR?
At SPR 4-5 I have no doubt that XR is best but I am not certain at this SPR.
Thanks
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