UTG c/r's the flop 200bbs deep instead of c-bet

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

UTG c/r's the flop 200bbs deep instead of c-bet

BN: $258.21
SB: $203.70
BB: $390.07
UTG: $417.08
HJ: $686.64
CO: $481.11 (Hero)
Villian has very standard looking TAG stats 25/17/6, c-bet 62%.
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T 4 A J
UTG raises to $7, HJ folds, Hero calls $7, BN calls $7, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($24.00) 2 9 3 (3 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $16.04, BN folds, UTG raises to $68, Hero calls $51.96
Really really confused by his play here. He shouldn't have many sets here when raising UTG. We are a 57% favorite over a hand like KK+spades and also a favorite over wrap+flushdraw.

However he is c/r'ing pot here as the pfr so I assume he's getting it in vs a reraise every time. Decided to call in case he does have a set, getting it in with 38% 200 bbs deep would be a pretty bad result.
Turn ($160.00) 2 9 3 A (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
The SPR is a little over 2 on the turn which completes the wrap. I don't think I ever see people go for a c/r on the flop and then c/r on the turn but I guess it is still a possibility here.

Decided to just take the free card since I think I am still behind a decent amount even turning the A. Anyone just pot-call it off here? I think potting it may have a chance to fold out a set, not really sure.
River ($160.00) 2 9 3 A 7 (2 Players)
UTG bets $119.47, Hero folds
Miss the river and fold... not sure we can hero call here since us checking back the turn means any set is the nuts in his eyes. Had a hard time putting him on a hand has no showdown value and needs to bluff (although maybe he turns KK into a bluff) so ended up folding.

Really curious what people put villain on here since this is a really uncommon spot. Comments on my line on all streets welcome as always too, thanks.
Final Pot
UTG wins $157.20

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