Turn decision with marginal hand in a 3 bet pot IP
Posted by Imfish4u
Posted by
Imfish4u
posted in
Mid Stakes
Turn decision with marginal hand in a 3 bet pot IP
Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players)
BN: $267.58 (Hero)
SB: $335.26
BB: $591.57
UTG: $161.13
MP: $214.60
CO: $201.80
SB: $335.26
BB: $591.57
UTG: $161.13
MP: $214.60
CO: $201.80
Went to showdown a couple hands before with villain where he made a very thin but smart vbet OTR. No stats on him so far.
Preflop
($3.00)
Hero is BN with
4
8
3
A
, , , ,
I dont like to fold here IP especially with a nut suit.
Flop
($39.00)
3
K
2
,
against the small sizing with a gut shoot and blocking AA which is a big part of his 3bet range I like to call here and bluff some turns when he checks.
Turn
($87.00)
3
K
2
8
, ,
With his sizing here is very often stacking off. His range has a lot of nut FD with AA or a K and AKQ2 type of hands but he would also keep betting hand like KQJT?? If we are folding this turn card it might be best to fold flop right away. What do you guys think? It just feels like a
played the hand pretty bad! :-)
I actually like the idea of calling turn make a decision OTR
played the hand pretty bad! :-)
I actually like the idea of calling turn make a decision OTR
Loading 6 Comments...
Pre-flop play is iffy and I`m definitely folding on the flop.
Pretty hard missplay. You dont rep anything on that turn and got so little EQ here.
I think this a clear RFI on the button here. We have a nut suit and connected cards. It doesnt get much better. When we face a three bet we have 40% vs. a 12% range and we are IP with 100bb so we def. should to call here!
Please let me know what you guys think about this analysis and if we should change something. Even though I gave him a tight cbet range with only value hands we can still gii profitible OTT. Seems kind of strange so maybe something is wrong here... thanks for any advice!
You didn't use the right syntax.
K+ means all one pair K and better (TP, twopair, sets etc etc). Ass means any nfd hand (which is rly questionable)
heroriver
I gave him flop cbetting range of every top pair and better (altho this is questionable), Qfd+ and oesd+ and wrap+.
For stackoff range I gave him toptwo+, TP with fd, nfd with any pair and I even gave him a wrap which is highly unlikely and we still fall short with needed EQ. So we cannot go broke ott.
As played I think we have a very easy fold on the flop. Our hand is very weak, we have no significant future blockers and no nut outs.
Yes fold the flop. As played call turn and make a dec on the River. Dont be afraid to call off with 0% eq, as its def better than shoving ip and loosing the ability to make a perfect decision OTR. Fold on flush,K for sure, call if improved obviously. You likely get free sd and save money on a spade vs KK/K8. You might opt to vbet thinly on non spade 9,7 for ex.
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