Tough River Spot with Flopped Boat, Too Thin to Jam?
Posted by CustomSuited
Posted by CustomSuited posted in Low Stakes
Tough River Spot with Flopped Boat, Too Thin to Jam?
SB: $52.50
BB: $47.38
UTG: $50.00 (Hero)
MP: $12.06
CO: $29.77
While playing, I didn't really think about this spot but looking at it in my session review, I now see it as a very tough spot.
Game is zoom and main villain (button) is playing 40/11/5 over 260 hands and is passive overall, definitely a losing player though not a big station so far. Anyways, standard flop bet (check-raise looks too strong) and I bet just enough on the turn to setup a river shove if shortstack calls. They both call and we have one potsize bet with a sidepot going on.
Is our hand strong enough to jam this river? The sidepot kind of forces our range to be quite strong if we jam here. As for the river, it's actually a very ugly one because it completes possible straight flushes which are in villain's range and villain can still have TT/QQ given how he's passive. Also, given he's not terrible, I don't think he calls the nut flush here vs a jam. We beat 98/Q9 and that's basically it for combos we beat in his calling range I think.
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