tough river spot
Posted by Mahrenholz
Posted by
Mahrenholz
posted in
High Stakes
tough river spot
Villian is an aggro reg over 2k hands. vpip=42, pfr=33 3b=13% 3b vs btn=17 fold fcb= 47 afq=58, cbet river in non 3bet pots (15/26) 58%. I don't have super strong reads but when he calls the flop and donks the turn, I assume his only value range is the nut flush, 35, and some 93's. I think he raises all sets, aa or kk+ high flush draw, all his 95's and some of his 93's on the flop. His donkbet is very low so I'm confused when he donks this turn. I feel like he'll be ck/calling his aa+a blocker on the turn a decent % of the time. I just hero called him on a 3rd barrel and he showed the nuts, but still get the sneaking suspicion he thinks I fold too many rivers.
partypoker - $10 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 201.33 BB
SB (SB): 100 BB (VPIP: 28.61, PFR: 18.23, 3Bet Preflop: 6.58, Hands: 4,067)
BB (BB): 634.23 BB (VPIP: 41.54, PFR: 32.68, 3Bet Preflop: 12.54, Hands: 2,139)
UTG (UTG): 154.73 BB (VPIP: 59.94, PFR: 33.41, 3Bet Preflop: 7.44, Hands: 1,730)
MP (MP): 208.8 BB (VPIP: 27.44, PFR: 19.26, 3Bet Preflop: 10.22, Hands: 1,155)
CO (CO): 125.2 BB (VPIP: 25.03, PFR: 16.24, 3Bet Preflop: 7.64, Hands: 1,678)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Dealt to Hero: jh4hjc9c
UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, fold, BB raises to 8.5 BB, UTG calls 6.5 BB, Hero calls 6.5 BB
Flop (26 BB, 3 players):
5h9h3s
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 19.28 BB, BB calls 19.28 BB, fold
Turn (64.55 BB, 2 players): 3h
BB bets 39 BB, Hero calls 39 BB
River (142.55 BB, 2 players): 7d
BB bets 142.25 BB,
Loading 7 Comments...
We need to know your hand. :-)
sorry, for some reason it didn't save when I edited the first time. :)
I'd start by checking the flop since villains allow us to take a free card. Our hand is vulnerable and can't stand a raise, nor will you fold away many better hands. So I'd settle with taking the free card and see what turn brings. As played, I would fold the river. Villain's line is boats, nut flushes and some random airballs, but I don't think those are a major part of his range.
In game I felt betting was best but I like checking here against a lot of people.
I hate these strange lines...
Here are some thoughts:
If Villain has AA / KK + hearts, it is likely he would have just bet the flop.
If Villain holds nut hearts, it is more likely that we have a boat, so 2 barrels is strange.
If Villain has air, he would probably chk / raise the turn, or just give up.
If Villain has a boat, it is likely we have hearts, so 2 barrels makes sense.
IF Villain has 2 pair on the flop, I think he plays it this way when we are this deep.
If Villain has a set on the flop, I think he goes for chk / raise when we are this deep.
I would unhappily fold the river. (probably while using expletives)
I don't think it's such a hard fold. He could def play some of his OP's this way, and from my experience people don't bluff here, and it looks like we have something bluff-catch worthy (and he's still betting).
He seems like potentially a bad LAG, but even against those players I still find we run into it quite often. Still isn't entirely impossible for him to have random boats in his range.
I think most people who take this line show up with the A-blocker most of the time. How is his hand big enough to bet the turn OOP after c/c flop? What are you, a player who folds too many rivers, supposed to be able to call with twice?
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