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TopSet on the Flop with fear of Flush on the River

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

TopSet on the Flop with fear of Flush on the River

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $30.89 (Hero)
SB: $5.09
BB: $5.00
UTG: $14.13
MP: $10.46
CO: $6.99
Almost no hands of villain. only 9 and VPIP is 56/ PFR is 22.... so he looks Fishy.
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BN with 6 6 Q Q
UTG folds, MP calls $0.05, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, MP raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.30
Flop ($1.07) Q 3 T
MP bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70
Turn ($2.47) Q 3 T 2
MP bets $0.65, Hero raises to $4.32, MP calls $3.67
River ($11.11) Q 3 T 2 9
MP checks, Hero checks

Did not know what to do on the River.... Flush hitted and also possible Straight.... Is this ok only check here cause only hands that will call a riverbet from me here will beat me (Straight/Flush) and pot is already 220 BB deep?

5 Comments

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texasflood2 7 years, 10 months ago

Nice spot!!!
I believe a lot of people would raise otf, but I think you need to consider some things. SPR is large, 9.3 and you don't have position. So if you didn't have the backdoor flush, a hand like QdQc6d6c I check/call almost all the time.

But, this hand is good enough to choose the two lines, XC and XR. The reason is because when you XR you can shove a lot of turns in spr <1: Spades (9) T (2) 3 (2) 2 (2) 4(2) 5(2) 6(1) 7(2) = 22 cards and the flop has 3, and you have 4, so 52 - 7 =~ 50%. But, without backdoor flush, some cards will be hard to shove, like 5 cards os spades, As Ks Js 9s and 8s. In other words, you only can shove "safe" in 17 cards within 45 = 38%. 62% of the time will be tough to play ott, that's the reason that I prefer call without backdoor flush.

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