top2 3way OOP, semiscary turn
Posted by patrick
Posted by
patrick
posted in
Low Stakes
top2 3way OOP, semiscary turn
HJ: $50
CO: $63.82
BN: $98.73
SB: $61.36
BB: $62.18 (Hero)
UTG: $50.10
CO: $63.82
BN: $98.73
SB: $61.36
BB: $62.18 (Hero)
UTG: $50.10
CO is 56/38, 21 3bet, 35 WTS over 169 hands. Fold to cbet in 3bet pot 56.
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
K
A
9
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.75, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $5.50, CO calls $3.75
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.75, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $5.50, CO calls $3.75
Flop
($11.75)
9
7
K
(2 Players)
Hero bets $7.50,
CO calls $7.50
I should probably bet bigger.
Turn
($26.75)
9
7
K
6
(2 Players)
Hero bets $25.07,
CO calls $25.07
I'm not sure what to do in this spot. The 6 improves some of his range but I'm not dead against that part and still dominate a quite large part of his range so I decided to get money in. Not sure about the sizing also but since I don't have a b/f range I figured potting it seems just fine.
River
($76.89)
9
7
K
6
A
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $25.75, and is all in,
Hero folds
Quite bad card, only something like the Jh would be worse. I get great odds but think I have to c/f?
Final Pot
CO
wins $73.89
Loading 2 Comments...
nobody?
From the stats you postet villain seems to be kind of fit-or-foldy postflop, maybe a bit stationy with WTSD 35%. I assigned him "86+,hh,(K,9,7):65+,97+" as continuing range (69% of preflop), of which he is calling 50% of preflop (all non "K7+,86+:hh").
After looking at the range distribution I am not sure if we have to cbet here. Villain has sth. to continue a lot on a very dynamic board. Our hand will become a bluff catcher on many turns. Since we crush villain's folding range, there is little incentive to fold out this part of his range. Check/calling also protects our check/folding range.
On the 6c turn we still have 65% equity vs villain's flop calling range. Villain has T8,85 23% of the time, we have 27% equity but need only 19.5% after potting. I gave villain "76+,8:(9,7,6),hh:6+,cc" without the Straights as turn calling range (54% of flop range).
On the river we have a perfect bluff catcher. Villain has a flush almost half the time. He is allowed to bluff 11% of his river range. Assuming he checks behind any 2P: If he only bluffs any heart blocker (8% of river range) we had to fold. If he is bluffing all his air it is a call. It is also a call when he checks behind weaker flushes or turns low two pair into a bluff.
Made lots of assumptions, though :-)Be the first to add a comment