Top set on draw-heavy board
Posted by MIxT3R17
Posted by
MIxT3R17
posted in
Low Stakes
Top set on draw-heavy board
MP: 156.5 BB (VPIP: 73.33, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
Hero (CO): 641 BB
BTN: 50.5 BB (VPIP: 41.04, PFR: 7.46, 3Bet Preflop: 2.68, Hands: 269)
SB: 272 BB (VPIP: 77.48, PFR: 10.81, 3Bet Preflop: 1.96, Hands: 112)
BB: 11.5 BB (VPIP: 75.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 12)
UTG: 64 BB (VPIP: 39.22, PFR: 15.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 102)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9s Jh 9h Ks
fold, MP raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop : (15 BB, 5 players) 9c 4h 6s
SB checks, BB checks, MP bets 14 BB, Hero raises to 42.5 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 8.5 BB and is all-in, MP calls 28.5 BB
Turn : (108.5 BB, 3 players) 5c
MP checks, Hero checks
River : (108.5 BB, 3 players) 2d
MP checks, Hero checks
MP shows Ac 6h Ts 6c (Three of a Kind, Sixes)
(Pre 24%, Flop 11%, Turn 19%)
Hero shows 9s Jh 9h Ks (Three of a Kind, Nines)
(Pre 51%, Flop 88%, Turn 81%)
BB mucks Tc 4s Ah Kc (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 25%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
I thnk the most possible draw got there OTT, although check OTR confused me.
Can we get more value OTT/OTR? B/F on either seems horrible?
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I thnk the most possible draw got there OTT
MP: 156.5 BB (VPIP: 73.33, PFR: 6.67
I do believe MPs flop calling range doesn't have too many wrap type of draws here, it should be OP heavy.
w\ SPR =1, feel like it should be shove all day (for value and protection).
protection is against 57xx\dackdoorclubs and more likely combos w\ this VPIP from MP, like: KKT7, even AA9x or such.
let's give 57+,96+!44+,JJ+:(T7+),KK+:37+ b\call sub-range for MP, then we 51\49 favourite OTT.
one might argue that range look too ambitious,but given 73\6 stats could be well reasonable
Youre right, seeing it now I realised I got too scared seeing the 5c OTT and was only focused on 1 particular hand that beat me instead of his whole range. Thx for the input
River is an easy valuebet as villain will bet straights himself.
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