Top Set and NFD on str8 flop
Posted by So_Nitty
Posted by
So_Nitty
posted in
Low Stakes
Top Set and NFD on str8 flop
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players)
BN: $5.62
SB: $2.78
BB: $8.86
UTG: $12.10
MP: $14.59 (Hero)
CO: $9.06
SB: $2.78
BB: $8.86
UTG: $12.10
MP: $14.59 (Hero)
CO: $9.06
Preflop
($0.07)
Hero is MP with
A
7
K
7
, , , , ,
i didn't notice that UTG had already opened (multi tasking lol) and made my standard 3x open which was actually a min raise here
Flop
($0.60)
4
3
7
, , , , ,
BB is a reg and probably has 56 maybe with a redraw to a higher str8. I have great equity here - should I just GII now against the probably str8 or see the turn? If one of my outs comes it could kill the action
Loading 8 Comments...
You are way ahead of any straight and any set, you also don't block 2nd nut flush. Against a range of 65:(8,cc) you have 60%, so I don't see many reasons to not get it in. You also could click it back to 42bb or something if you think he c/r many bare FDs or that he might fold some hands to a shove that he wouldn't to a small raise.
People are never raise folding with ppl to act on these boards at 02 05c so just pot, you lose a bit of value from blockers that continue on blanks but get lower sets +fdraws dead
This doesn't make sense to me. If he is "never raise folding", then surely he doesn't just have blockers and so you don't have to worry about losing value?
Ship it
Ship it
Ship it !
With that tiny exception, which is very tiny % of the time, less than 1%, most people just call with their blockers to hit gutshot so you shouldn't care about it. Most of his hands are pure value.
We basically have the nut value hand so care about how to play against his strong stuff (as he's mainly strong here and if he isn't, we probably aren't winning much else regardless). Given playing turns against his monsters benefits him, not us (he can fold on our good cards, we can't fold anything), we should just raise and go with it.
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