Top set @9T2r, Multyway, IP.
Posted by JimmyGlass
Posted by JimmyGlass posted in Low Stakes
Top set @9T2r, Multyway, IP.
SB: $43.42
BB: $102.97
UTG: $179.94
MP: $92.68
CO: $50.25 (Hero)
SB - 34\12 (small sample)
I'd like to hear opinions if there is any merit to ever call this holding in particular spot.
I'm fully aware that pot OTF is instant +EV (tho we' re 'only' 60\40 vs '9T+:8J+,8JQ+,99,T:JQ+!RR' range (and 99 almost never in his range),
but maybe we can get higher expected value by calling (in some cases) this hand IP.
advantages of slowplaying OTF:
-SB rather loose (no info if aggro enough), might see 40bbs of deadmoney and x/r light (8+:JQ)
-we might get away on turn\river with small loss on some runouts as PFR's range is\supposed to be rather transparent if he keeps barreling,
-b\f hands (AAT, KK9 etc.) might pays as 1 more street when 9\2 comes.
downside of calling
-its multyway,
-bord isn't static
-we don't know where we stand at some turn runouts (7,J)
Turn vs x\r (just for good measure):
we need 28.5%
we get 29% vs (8J,77+:dd,JQK:dd,9T:Kdd+)
-rake = breakeven at best (probably ranges should be tighter, at this turn I'd expect him to x/r most J8xx, at the same time only 7% of $FI12 contain J8xx)
own sizing: I guess I don't b\fold here much, so potting might be only sizing, idk.
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