too aggro? throwing money in the burn pit?
Posted by leadnuts
Posted by leadnuts posted in Low Stakes
too aggro? throwing money in the burn pit?
WPN, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
SB: $30.47 (121.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 4s Ks 9s Ac
SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.50) 2s 4d 5s (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $1.43, Hero raises to $4.75, SB calls $3.32
Turn: ($11) 5d (2 players)
Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50
River: ($24) 7h (2 players)
Hero bets $13 and is all-in, SB folds
Am i lighting money on fire here?
first the BG...
have a few hands at $10 PLO vs him, but this is the second time ive seen him at $25PLO so i have around 250 hands.
hes 51/30 with 3b of 8.6 and flop CB of around 65%
he cbets IP around 25% more than OOP and has called 100% of check-raises in 4 instances.
his AF is around 2 and his AG is around 30%. so not too aggressive. . A quick look at his stats show his aggression tapers off significantly with 38%/25%/14% respectively.
back to hand:
preflop: is fine HU..no reason to bloat OOP, but too strong to fold
Flop: i think him cbetting a high % and the fact that i could get some better hands to fold makes it a good spot for a x/r. when he doesnt re-pot flop i think he doesnt have 63xx very often and probably can discount A3ssXX as well. i think he caps his range to mostly overpairs with FD(BDFD) , some 3x combo draws,67 combo draws and A3 with or without FD(BDFD)
Turn: doesnt specifically help the hand im repping, but it gives villain more equity with a good chunk of his range. i think checking would be bad here because if we had 6,3 we would definitely be betting again for protection and could possibly be bet/folding if he jams as he isnt aggressive enough to have enough semi-bluffs in his range to bet/call. if i got raised here i would assume its going to be 5,2 or 5,4 specicifcally as i would expect a re-pot on the flop if he had a set. he would likely assume im going with the hand when i bet 6.5 into 11 and leave 13 behind so he would comfortably ship it for protection the times i have 5 and 3 overs or 44, 22 . i bet with intentions of folding for that reason and when he calls, now his range is super capped to A3 with FD, overpair with FD, 2 FD, or a hand like 35xx combo draw or 67 combo draw.
River: not horrible, 68 got there, 77, 57.. other than that all the FDs missed, 3x missed, 67 missed and the times he has an overpair like QQ or JJ that card is better for my range than his. i stuff it and he takes his entire time bank down to 4 seconds before folding. there were only 4 tables running ( at 5am EST) so that wasnt it as he was playing the other tables. he was in a spot to hero so i think i got my range assumption correct. ( overpair+ bricked draws or A3 mostly) I am getting snapped off by 68,77,57 and i dont think he has 54 or 52 very often because he would jam turn for protection with SPR of like .5 going to river.
most in-depth hand history ive done in a long time,im looking for feedback on my thought process throughout the hand as well.
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