thin value with AA?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

thin value with AA?

CO: $32.65
BN: $17.60
SB: $25
BB: $41.54 (Hero)
UTG: $107.15
HJ: $80.51
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A A T J
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.75, CO folds, BN folds, SB calls $0.65, Hero raises to $3, HJ calls $2.25, SB calls $2.25
Flop ($9.25) 7 7 9 (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.70, HJ calls $4.70, SB folds
Turn ($18.65) 7 7 9 4 (2 Players)
Hero bets $12.20, HJ calls $12.20
River ($43.05) 7 7 9 4 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ checks
Final Pot
Hero has A A T J Hero wins $40.98

MP is 37/12 and seems semi-bad. He doesnt fold to 3bets so far (200 hands) and called 3/3 cbets in 3bpots. SB is 38/4 and loose-passive postflop too.I don't love the flop but I feel like it's def good to bet here. Sizingwise I wasn't too sure. I just thought that there is not that much to protect from and betting around half pot would beok with my bluffs or other value hands as well. When MP calls I think he can have a 7, 9+sd, overpair. Vs that range [10%:(7,TT+, T98, 986)] I have 72%. Turn doesnt change much so I bet again. Again not too sure about my sizing but I by betting 2/3rds he might peel overpairs again. I loose less if I have to b/f and I dont think I'll induce bluffshoves by it. The only thing concernes me a bit are his straightdraws, but I guess he might fold some OTT sincethe board is paired and theres a FD and also I block some combos.

Once he x/c turn I think I'm good here almost always and river doesnt change much. shove?

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