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thin herofold OTR

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

thin herofold OTR

CO: $59.29
BN: $40.13
SB: $20.84
BB: $50 (Hero)
UTG: $20.34
HJ: $50
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 A 9 Q
UTG calls $0.50, HJ folds, CO raises to $1, BN folds, SB calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.50, UTG calls $0.50
Flop ($4.00) 9 5 Q (4 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.30, UTG calls $3.30, CO calls $3.30, SB folds
Turn ($13.90) 9 5 Q Q (3 Players)
Hero bets $11, UTG folds, CO calls $11
River ($35.90) 9 5 Q Q J (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $21.93, Hero folds

UTG is 40\2

CO palys 20\15, aggr% 37\32\23 wtsd 27

bet river IP 30%(10)


it seems quite simple to construct his range her. he should get to the river with 55, 99, Q9,Q***(including QJ combos)don't think he's too sticky to call KsK*s vs turn ~pot bet.

from all these boats, I expect Vbet from QJ and sometimes Q9(not sure if he goes for value with this hand and that is just 1 combo)

we've got 18.45% vs (Q9,QJ)!(AA,RRR), but does he bet Q9 - I don't really know.he bets 2\3 quite quickly, feels like nuts


any thoughts? folding is too thin?

we've got PSB exactly otr - could we shove, b\f? but what worse hands calling..

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