sucker wrap oop 3w 3b pot
Posted by spassewr
Posted by spassewr posted in Mid Stakes
sucker wrap oop 3w 3b pot
CO: RFI in the CO is 31% over a large sample. he has been much more laggy recently, but due to his shorter stack and the fact that btn is quite aggro both pre and post, 25-30ish % is probably reasonable. i expect him to 4b all AA, most KK and some premium AKBBss or AKBds here.
BTN: 3bets 19% btn vs co, probably tighter vs co now since he isnt opening super wide and co has a good 4-betting stack. probably still 3bets all premium hands like all AA, premium KK and A[8+][8+][8+]ds no pair unless QQ+ as well as all zero-gappers ss/ds, most 1-gappers ss/ds and ds rundowns with or without gaps.
$4b6,AA,$0g$ss,$0g$ds,$1g$ss,$1g$ds,$2g$ds = 8%
we are an equity dog vs these ranges, i dont cold call a lot of 3bets so its not like its super deceptive for me to show up with a hand like this.
Flop play:
do you donk? if so, why? we cant fold vs a raise but how do you play if called non pairing bricks? fwiw i dont think villains expect me to donk sets, maybe i can rep top2 if i pot. think theyll read most of my leading range as wraps and maybe K3/KJT.
once co checks we can remove some 2p as well as pair+GS, naked JT and QJT from his range i think.
i dont expect btn to cbet wide, he views me as tight but not weak-tight, and co will gii pretty lite. he obv picked a sizing that allows him to re-shove if i call and co jams. dont think this means anything other than he wants to give himself options. guess we can remove naked JT (no K,Q) and some pair+GS from his range tho.
so on the flop I gave him this: K+,JT:(A,9) MINUS (AT,AJ,J9,T9):(Q,3)!Q3+
do we jam or call? if we call, co jams and btn jams over the top, do we call it off?
for the pokerjuicers: http://pokerjuice.com/hh/3259/
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