sucker wrap oop 3w 3b pot
Posted by spassewr
Posted by
spassewr
posted in
Mid Stakes
sucker wrap oop 3w 3b pot
CO: RFI in the CO is 31% over a large sample. he has been much more laggy recently, but due to his shorter stack and the fact that btn is quite aggro both pre and post, 25-30ish % is probably reasonable. i expect him to 4b all AA, most KK and some premium AKBBss or AKBds here.
BTN: 3bets 19% btn vs co, probably tighter vs co now since he isnt opening super wide and co has a good 4-betting stack. probably still 3bets all premium hands like all AA, premium KK and A[8+][8+][8+]ds no pair unless QQ+ as well as all zero-gappers ss/ds, most 1-gappers ss/ds and ds rundowns with or without gaps.
$4b6,AA,$0g$ss,$0g$ds,$1g$ss,$1g$ds,$2g$ds = 8%
we are an equity dog vs these ranges, i dont cold call a lot of 3bets so its not like its super deceptive for me to show up with a hand like this.
Flop play:
do you donk? if so, why? we cant fold vs a raise but how do you play if called non pairing bricks? fwiw i dont think villains expect me to donk sets, maybe i can rep top2 if i pot. think theyll read most of my leading range as wraps and maybe K3/KJT.
once co checks we can remove some 2p as well as pair+GS, naked JT and QJT from his range i think.
i dont expect btn to cbet wide, he views me as tight but not weak-tight, and co will gii pretty lite. he obv picked a sizing that allows him to re-shove if i call and co jams. dont think this means anything other than he wants to give himself options. guess we can remove naked JT (no K,Q) and some pair+GS from his range tho.
so on the flop I gave him this: K+,JT:(A,9) MINUS (AT,AJ,J9,T9):(Q,3)!Q3+
do we jam or call? if we call, co jams and btn jams over the top, do we call it off?
for the pokerjuicers: http://pokerjuice.com/hh/3259/
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tough one.
if you give BTN such a high card heavy range, your rundown is often dominated
if CO 4bets sometimes, you have to fold when BTN shoves
if you call and CO calls, you have bad relative position with a slightly deep effective stack
even if you flop huge, like 789, BTN can check back to realize equity, or have you dominated, and if the flop is lower, like 678, you're likely not to get the action you'd like
finally lots of pair + draw and 2 pairs + draw can be favorable but sometimes you're just dominated
thus I would fold as SB. If I were CO with better relative pose, I may call. The equity distribution agst the ranges described isn't that great but with such good odds calling is fine.
As played, BTN plays it perfectly with his sizing, I would just fold.
I may call with a backdoor FD so that there's more turns to play on ?
If everybody shoves, you have 35% agst an 8% range, and obv less agst the shoving part of his range so I'd fold.
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