Someone explain this hand to me please (500z)
Posted by Apoth
Posted by Apoth posted in Mid Stakes
Someone explain this hand to me please (500z)
SB: I_Mr_U_Bean: $577.41
BB: Zero 1100101: $573.01
UTG: bombonca: $886.64
MP: baadger: $500.00
CO: Borys313: $490.70
I_Mr_U_Bean lost and shows a straight, Nine to King.
Apotheosis92 wins $1157.02
Rake is $2.80
Okay so pre is unexciting.
I could raise flop or turn since my hand has equity and doesn't mind getting folds but I prefer calling. (I'm open to hear thoughts on this but I'd mostly prefer to hear thoughts on villain's river line.)
River: (He shows up with KcQsTd9d in case it doesnt show in HH)
I can think of 3 reasons for villains line.
1) I have a lot of KQ and he folds me off a split. I don't think this is true as I have a bunch of incentive to jam most/all KQ on the turn. Even if I have some KQ its an unbelievably expensive play to bluff KQ to get me to fold a split sometimes when hes getting scooped by a flush sometimes too. I'd need A LOT of KQ to justify this play and I don't think I do).
2) I'm so flush deficient that I'm forced to call a bunch of non-flush hands making his shove a good value bet (this seems not particularly likely, since paired with 1 it means I'm calling river here with lots of 2p or non nut straights...)
3) Due to range on range composition or w/e I'm forced to fold a lot of flushes making his hand actually a good bluff (this seems unlikely to me given how high the EV of checking with a straight must be). This would only occur when he has nowhere near enough bluffs and even then there seems to be a reasonable likelihood checking is still superior.
4) He just made a mistake.
During my NL career I'd have looked at a hand like this and thought "lol idiot" or "he made a mistake/is tilting/misread hand etc)
That being said, villain is IMRU_BEAN who I hear is extremely good and from what I've seen to this point is good. Is there a lot of merit to this play or is it simply a mistake made by a good player?
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