Should we lead the turn?
Posted by Iam2good
Posted by
Iam2good
posted in
Low Stakes
Should we lead the turn?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $41.63
SB: $64.63 (Hero)
BB: $29.39
UTG: $44.63
MP: $27.80
CO: $25.13
SB: $64.63 (Hero)
BB: $29.39
UTG: $44.63
MP: $27.80
CO: $25.13
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is SB with
6
K
K
T
, , , , ,
Flop
($2.80)
8
4
7
, , , ,
Turn
($5.54)
8
4
7
A
,
River
($5.54)
8
4
7
A
3
,
Final Pot
SB wins $5.30
Rake is $0.24
Rake is $0.24
Flop: I don't believe leading is a good idea, as we don't have enough nutted components to make te bet. Turn: I was thinking about leading as villian should check some weakish flushdraws back on the flop and we still have all those hands in our check calling range. It may be a good spot to turn some straight draws plus pair blocker into a bluff.
River: I guess we are only repping flushes when we do bet the river, so I decided to bet pot because of it.
Loading 4 Comments...
Flop: yeah, I don't think betting makes sense. Check/call is almost definitely highest EV imo.
I don't think leading this turn makes a ton of sense in general. I think my whole range is x/c or x/f here.
I don't think that potting the river is a huge mistake, but with villain looking very defeated OTT I think sizing down (perhaps dramatically) makes a lot of sense. And thinking through it from a higher altitude: I just don't think we need to bet so much when we're trying to get villain to fold (say, we have T9xx and little SDV), and I think we want to be able to value bet thinner than the nuts... and that becomes less profitable if our sizing here is too big for our whole betting range.
And btw I don't think splitting our bets into two sizings OTR with the action so far makes sense.
I like leading the turn since we rarely see him betting twice.
Depends on the villain, of course, but at the micros I like the lead.
He could continue with worse if we lead but it's unlikely for him to double barrel.
However, we need to balance that line with the K/Q/J of diamond blockers I guess.
I agree that we should lead the turn and then choose the K diamond blockers that also have pairs ( to block sets) to balance.
Be the first to add a comment