River spot vs Rec 3/6 HU

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

River spot vs Rec 3/6 HU

BB: 824.20 (Hero)
SB: 782.80
Preflop (9) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 K Q 5
SB raises to 18, Hero calls 12
Flop (39) 4 7 K (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB checks
Turn (39) Q (2 Players)
Hero bets 28.80, SB raises to 90, Hero raises to 294, SB calls 204
River (655.80) 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets 512.20, SB folds
Villain has 470 behind
Final Pot
Hero has 7 K Q 5 Hero wins 1135.20

Villain is a recreational player and this hand is currently hand 196 

His stats are, SB 87% open, BB 91% total call of 72% 3B 26%

FLOP CB 39% 36 samples

NOTES

Didn't value jam river in such standard spot

Bluff flop NO EV went all 3 streets awful bluff

Not turned hands into bluff on river in solid spot's with no show down value.

On turn, i assume he is value raising either a made hand or a big draw + pair or open ender type hand, given his no CB on flop i would say he is weighted more towards a made hand KQ,Q789.. but i duno? i am not sure how often he has sets here with not CB'ing but it has to be a small % imo around 10%? my main reason also for putting him on a made hand is i think fish are more likely to just call with draws but thats my NL theory unsure about PLO? would like others thoughts on Villains range here.

Turn i make it just under pot which i feel is a mistake, i don't see any reason to not pot as i cant think of hands hands that will call my current turn raise and not a pot and obv we dont have to worry about balance vs this player, my reason for not potting was due to how strong my hand was and at the time i was worried i might get folds with full pot?

River is where im really unsure what to do.  im not going to give any comments here as i would like fresh idea's from other players + im very unsure optimal line myself!


Thanks


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