River spot
Posted by Maikel1983
Posted by
Maikel1983
posted in
Mid Stakes
River spot
BB: 1498.42 (Hero)
BN: 142.48
SB: 400
BN: 142.48
SB: 400
Preflop
(6)
(3 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
3
8
T
BN folds, SB raises to 12, Hero calls 8
BN folds, SB raises to 12, Hero calls 8
Flop
(26)
8
5
K
(2 Players)
SB bets 16,
Hero calls 16
Turn
(58)
J
8
5
K
(2 Players)
SB bets 40,
Hero calls 40
River
(138)
J
K
8
5
K
(2 Players)
SB bets 68
Villain stats - 31-26 3b 9,7
Villain steals from the SB around 42%, villain cbets 70%, which is too much and HERO could exploit that probably.
FLOP
Hero, could have raised and hope to get it in vs draws, which I domintate.
Hero's range for raising flop, K8xx,88xx,55xx, strong draws. And maybe some bluffs, which can i pick up equity on turn QJTx. I think villain doesn't put me a lot on KKxx combo's since I will 3bet most of them pre-flop. I am not sure if villain expect me too slowplay 2p/sets on flop since this flop is so connected.
I opted to call, and take advantage of my position.
TURN
J, is card which could have improved both of us. Bringing some extra draws on the board. I think HERO just has 1 option to call, with gutter and hearts.
RIVER
K, i was really surprised by his betsize and given my range is weighted to flush/draws, wraps etc. If villain has a boat KJxx for example. It's good spot to check and I am likely to bluff my missed draws.
Now, I was thinking maybe villain could have a missed draw and will bluff with it with this betsize. Since this betsize looks like value? Very possible villain could have QT9x,976x with hearts or something. Or villain has an underboat with 55xx, whereby villain hopes i will pay him off with a K.
Given my image is a bit spewy, villain could also give me some rope, and hoping i would shove all my missed draws over his perceived "weak" bet. However, it's more likely I will bluff the river when I check too. Although I am trying to fold out AAxx, QQT9, which villain could have in his range.
I want to shove the river, however I am not sure if I am repping a credible range.
Comments on all streets are appreciated. Tnx!!
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