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river sizing?

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river sizing?

http://weaktight.com/5859826


Villian is weak player, he like calls a lot and only raise nuts.

What best sizing on river? I should bet turn more prolly...

3 Comments

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jonna102 11 years, 10 months ago

Depending on reads you could consider checking to induce a bluff on the river.  It seems somewhat unlikely that you get another street of value from a worse hand, though if he just calls blindly then just bet obviously.  You're looking to get called by two pair or smaller sets, so a small-ish bet seems appropriate, a bit more than half pot maybe?

Tom Coldwell 11 years, 10 months ago

If villain is a weak station, this seems like a pretty easy bet as we won't really induce that often. You could consider check/folding, but that doesn't seem best as he'll be checking back worse hands which would have called more often than he'll have us beat I'd think with him having just called turn.

As for sizing, I guess something just over half pot would probably work here - we're trying to let him call with stuff like AKT, nut diamonds that made two pair etc. You could even consider going smaller - maybe $20 - if you think he might look you up as like as AK** that missed diamonds or T9. We assume he won't bluff-raise so you're bet/folding here, but I'm kinda not expecting him to raise.

lofigr 11 years, 10 months ago
I would bet 19,87 EUR on turn and when he does not re raise me there, I would bet river 23,45 EUR on non diamond river card that's not Broadway. I think he calls my river bet almost always because of river size bet and because of those weird numbers, which are in fact perfect if you think about that on turn in advance.....
Alternative river bet size would be 32,10 EUR if you think he calls with ATKLdd or ATQLdd hand where L in {2,3,4,5} for instance....
Your blockers 98 are very good here for his 987 OR Q98 - the hands he might call your bets with....

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