River decision against narrow range
Posted by BalTa
Posted by BalTa posted in Low Stakes
River decision against narrow range
Prima, $0.10/$0.20 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $7.17 (35.9 bb)
BB: $48.52 (242.6 bb)
Hero (MP): $21.05 (105.3 bb)
CO: $30.13 (150.7 bb)
BTN: $69.88 (349.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 3 3 K Q
Hero raises to $0.70, CO folds, BTN raises to $2.40, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.70
Flop: ($5.10) 7 T 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($5.10) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.40, BTN calls $3.40
River: ($11.90) 6 (2 players)
Hero ???
Villain is a nitty pre flop player VPIP/PFR/3b 24/12/3 over 365 hands CB IP around 50% Fold flop after miss CB 78% in raised pots
WTSD 25
Preflop Against such small 3bet percentage i think it is a fold. We play against very strong range OOP and we don't have enough of connectedness.
Flop Plan was to xc flop and xf turn if unimproved to flush or second FD. After he did xb i think his range is full of 'weak' AA that is not ready to stack off on te flop vs draws
Turn Not sure if I had +EV bet . I don't think he will fold AA, considering how much potential draw is in my range. I think xf is the best option. What do you think?
River As played i think 6 is good card for my range. Improved 89 and 53. Also I have weakest holding in my range in this spot (not sure if this is a good justification) so at least he have to consider folding with his 'naked' AA
What do you think guys, is this + EV to bet here and try to make him fold AA? Thank you!
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