River decision

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River decision

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (5 Players) BB: $80.00
UTG: $467.67
CO: $50.40
BN: $121.57 (Hero)
SB: $47.81
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is BN with 7 4 K A
UTG folds, CO calls $1.00, Hero calls $1.00, SB folds, BB checks
Flop ($3.50) A 7 8
BB checks, CO bets $3.27, Hero calls $3.27, BB folds
Turn ($10.04) A 7 8 K
CO bets $4.70, Hero raises to $12.50, CO calls $7.80
River ($35.04) A 7 8 K 5
CO bets $32.76, Hero folds
Final Pot CO wins $32.76
Rake is $2.28

Villain is 47/5 after ~ 20 hands.
Is this a correct fold on the river?

3 Comments

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Ernestas Romeika 7 years, 6 months ago

We don't block any of his turn drawing range that would now be bluffing the river (mid-high spades, as well as 9, T, J) and we're pretty high up in our range so I'd say this is a call. Also given this line it's very unlikely that our opponent has a set, so his value range is very narrow.
The stats would be somewhat worrisome, as this player type is less likely to bluff, but it's only 20 hands so it can be ignored for sure.

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