[PLO5z] Good Aces in the BB

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[PLO5z] Good Aces in the BB

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $5.76
SB: $38.02
BB: $18.62 (Hero)
UTG: $9.46
MP: $4.80
CO: $3.67
MP is 48/27/0 (VPIP/PFR/3bet) over 35 hands
CO is 60/31/3 over 100 hands
SB is 22/17/14 and a green mark after 160 hands
No relevant notes on any of them.
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with A J Q A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.17, CO calls $0.17, BN folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero raises to $0.85, MP calls $0.68, CO calls $0.68, SB calls $0.68
Quite strong aces against a bunch of loose players with only the SB being deep with me. This should be an easy 3bet, right?
Flop ($3.40) 7 9 9
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks, CO bets $2.82 and is all in, SB calls $2.82, Hero
Quick math: if you deal 12 random cards there is a 7/15 chance that there is at least one of those is a 9. Of course my opponents don't have random cards but that gives an idea how often there is a 9 out there.
I would have called CO's all in as I am getting odds and he could be betting a lot more hands with three players checking to him. With SB calling, especially since we are deep, this is a fold, right?
Are there any merits to not checking the flop?

7 Comments

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Ph33roX 9 years, 9 months ago

Well played hand if you folded against the bet and the call.

if I wanted to know the likelyhood of trips+ here (indeed a key stat for this hand) I would have used PPT rather than the method you used. But it's definitely better than nothing =)

Gambling_Poet 9 years, 9 months ago

I think it is a very easy fold, against a random 9xxx hand you have 10% EQ and with the caller I think chances are very high one of them has it.

ohgodwhy 9 years, 9 months ago

What would we actually do with a 9 here? Do we check our entire range because we have so many overpairs or missed broadway highcards that we wanna balance this with our strong hands as well?

Kerith 9 years, 9 months ago

That is an interesting question and I am curious how other people handle this spot. So far I have been checking everything except A9* and 97* (which I bet for value) and a few bluffs that have outs against hands like KK9* and QQ9* although tbh vs 3 players I might very well only bet for value.

Ph33roX 9 years, 9 months ago

Kerith, you can check the likelyhood of trips by using the questions feature of PPT.

Give each player an approximate preflop range, then ask:

How often
at least one player
flop hand category is at least
trips

Gambling_Poet 9 years, 9 months ago

That's the kind of thing I've been looking for, are you referring to a feature in the paid download version? In the online one I cant find it.

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