PLO50z - Top set, value bet river?
Posted by bdon22
Posted by
bdon22
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO50z - Top set, value bet river?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $75.58
SB: $119.72
BB: $50.45 (Hero)
UTG: $104.07
MP: $51.50
CO: $58.06
SB: $119.72
BB: $50.45 (Hero)
UTG: $104.07
MP: $51.50
CO: $58.06
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BB with
A
5
A
J
, , , , , ,
Flop
($19.00)
2
8
A
, ,
Turn
($19.00)
2
8
A
T
, ,
River
($45.00)
2
8
A
T
Q
Loading 4 Comments...
Given that he checked behind flop and we block two aces, it's very hard for him to have a second best hand that can call. I think we need to check-decide on the river.
...and thinking about it more, I'd argue it's a pretty easy check-fold. This river just smashes him so hard. When he checks back flop and calls the turn bet, he's going to have so much J9. There are no flush draws out there. His hands that don't make a straight on this river are going to have showdown value. It just seems very hard for anyone to find enough bluffs to make us want to call on this river.
3-bet pot and we're not value betting AAA here? I feel like i'd still want to bet but can see how a lot of straights get there. On flop I would still bet, it sets up for river shoves a lot easier (even < 1/2 pot). Still possible for villain to have Ax in hand.
If you don't bet your aa here otf how will people give you credit when you bluff?
As played, river seems quite villain dependant. Check/decide as a standard seems ok.
no reads what so ever?
bet ~$7 on the flop as played check river
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