plo50 zoom: barrel Flushcard with no equity?
Posted by Eckesach
Posted by Eckesach posted in Low Stakes
plo50 zoom: barrel Flushcard with no equity?
BN: $50
SB: $85.48 (Hero)
BB: $49
UTG: $47.57
HJ: $63.19
CO: $57.62
SB: $85.48 (Hero)
BB: $49
UTG: $47.57
HJ: $63.19
CO: $57.62
villain is 22/14 Reg with 38% RFI from the CO over sm sample, no special reads
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
J
9
7
8
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN folds, Hero raises to $5, BB folds, CO calls $3.50
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN folds, Hero raises to $5, BB folds, CO calls $3.50
Flop
($10.75)
Q
7
4
(2 Players)
Hero bets $6.50,
CO calls $6.50
Turn
($23.75)
Q
7
4
K
(2 Players)
PF: maybe a bit too loose but i try to train on plo50 to get away from my nit style and prolly an okay spot
F: board is not super coordinated, i have middle pair + vague rundown blocker cb can't be a huge mistake.
T: Is this really dumb to consider barrel this card? As he just called otf he is somewhat capped with no Sets, no pair+NFD, no Combo draws. Maybe a Qxxx, some bare NFD, pair + low FD, pair+OESD or low bare Wrap Hands. When i bet say 18$ he has to fold 43% of the time - is this a reasonable assumption or too optimistic?
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