PLO50 HU deep. Top 2 @ turn

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PLO50 HU deep. Top 2 @ turn

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (2 Players) BB: $152.15
SB: $228.93 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with Q 9 3 J
Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1.00
Flop ($3.00) 4 5 9
BB checks, Hero bets $2.20, BB raises to $9.00, Hero calls $6.80
Turn ($21.00) 4 5 9 Q
BB checks, Hero bets $15.78, BB raises to $67.84, Hero folds
Final Pot BB wins $52.06
Rake is $0.50

Villian: BB call 60, 3bet 34
c/r flop 18, c/r turn 9
hands 380

Pre-flop and flop is pretty standard. I am stuck at turn and its so deep. What will be the share of his made-hands and draw-hands with this double c/r line? I am ahead of all FD+st8-draw and FD+2pairs, crushed vs sets (will be any there ?) and freerolled vs Q9+draw.

thnx

4 Comments

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PastyWhiteDonkey 9 years, 7 months ago

This seems like a shitty spot and I have no idea about HU ranges but I don't think you can fold this is one of the strongest hands you can have here.

samuelazo 9 years, 7 months ago

maybe, after he raises u on the flop, u could take the x-call line and evaluate the river. If the river is a brick, then u can check call , or reevaluate depending on his sizing and on how many sets u think he can have there. If river completes a possible straight, maybe u can bluff it by donking bit over half pot(and folding to a raise) or check raise depending on his sizing and how many draws u think he really has. (if he checks back then u get a free showdown).

nassander 9 years, 7 months ago

His line really feels like a set more so than a combo draw, unless you have history to say otherwise.

I'd just fold the flop check raise given our re-draws aren't great and his are probably better. Our 3 is no good, so we have a back door flush and str8 draws. You are crushed by a set and an overpair plus flush draw and behind a wrap.

As played I would fold the turn. He could be getting tricky with a combo draw but even then he won't be that far behind you if at all. You'll be like 60% at best, at worst 10%. I don't think it's worth the risk given how deep you are and the action.

If he's doing this a bit, might be a case of adjusting to checking back some turns, especially if he is likely to bluff busted draws.

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