PLO25: continue barreling vs PFA c/c

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PLO25: continue barreling vs PFA c/c

HJ: $170.04
CO: $71.10 (Hero)
BN: $55.10
SB: $106.05
BB: $32.12
HJ/PFA: 51/32 over 47 hands
cbet: 73

BTN 68/2 over 40 hands
Preflop ($0.35) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt 4 K J K
HJ raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, BN calls $0.75, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($2.60) 6 T 8 (3 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $2, BN folds, HJ calls $2
I expect the PFA to give up a lot and I bet because I'll take it down a lot, think I have the best hand at least some of time and am sure that freecards won't help me at all, especially not vs two players.
Turn ($6.60) 6 T 8 6 (2 Players)
HJ checks

When he calls, I put him on AA, a bare NFD, maybe QJT. I'm just wondering if it makes sense to continue betting and how play various rivers. It's a bit tough to know which cards are bad for him but generally his c/c range should be pretty weak. I also don't think I have that much SDvalue or river improving potential with KK.

6 Comments

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ohgodwhy 11 years ago

Well, it's not a pure valuebet if that's what you are thinking. Yes, I have _some_ equity vs draws but I'm mostly trying to take the pot down vs hands that have a lot of equity vs me + I have some backdoor draws and top set outs. I expect the PFA to fold almost always. Only problem might be that the BTN doesn't fold anything.

Zergwentape 11 years ago

Betting flop is a mistake we have like 21% equity against their range. OTT you still have smth like 50% agaisnt 32% range so id rather take a free card.

WhoIsNext 11 years ago

You can consider betting flop if they both check when you are OTB, but with the button still to act i think is kinda spewy.

midori 11 years ago

Yeah, like others mentioned, betting this flop seems a bit too thin when we don't have the absolute position.  Against 32%6h (HJ) and 50%6h!AA (BTN) we only have 22.2% on this flop.  Well, HJ didn't c-bet on this flop so we can rule out straights, sets, most 2p's and OP+draw type of stuff, but even in that case we are actually the least favourite on this flop (~30%), whereas BTN will now have ~43% equity.

As played, I'd bet the turn and try to fold out his weak AA or some hands with ~20% equity.  It's not like we are wasting equity by bet/folding this turn because I don't think this is a good bluffing spot, thus I wouldn't expect us to have >10% against that range very often.

ilovetiger 11 years ago

I think the flop is fine if the BTN is playing 68/2 pre then playing very fit or fold post....if hes stationing postflop hes going to realize his equity and thats of course terrible for us....ott id just bet - forcing him to fold out alot of his draws would be great for us and with the board pairing he cant do much about it

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