PLO200 - UTG vs. CO LAG: 2nd barrel decision (and flop plan?!)
Posted by Ibra Cadabra
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Ibra Cadabra
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Mid Stakes
PLO200 - UTG vs. CO LAG: 2nd barrel decision (and flop plan?!)
UTG: $200.00 (Hero)
MP: $420.25
CO: $200.00
BN: $283.60
SB: $272.65
BTN is a huge fish (90/50) and CO is a 40/24 regular who has AF of 2.1 and doesn't stab, raise, or c/r too often on the flop. He does a bit more of that on the turn. W$WSF is 40%, WTSD 29%. On the flop I didn't feel comfortable c/c because my hand is so medium. I'd rather just c-bet and ideally take it down or get HU with the fish - although with SPR ~8 I can imagine quite some turns will make things awkward.
Of course only CO calls, and I'm really not sure what to do. I still have equity and blockers to the nuts so I didn't want to c/f. However, c/c doesn't seem particularly appealing either, nor does betting. I can see CO flat a variety of top two/sets otf, especially to try and keep the fish in, with the intention of jamming on a safe turn. So how to proceed? Is c/f best after all? Or is SPR so low that I can simply pot/commit and hope to take it down some of the time as well? And how about the flop c-bet? Thanks in advance.
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Intersting... Villian with those stats could be holding a flush draw with a K and gut shot type of hand. I'd C bet the turn and reevaluate river. You block all straights and if a blank hits river I'm betting as we have little showdown value. . If a spade hits, its a river small bet as Q high flush will just flat and all lower pay you off. The A will raise thus saving you from a ugly check spew call
"On the flop I didn't feel comfortable c/c because my hand is so medium"
Medium hands are exactly the ones you're supposed to call. I would prefer to check on the flop. It's not the sort of hand where you want to force money in, and as you can see it plays kind of awkwardly with initiative.
On the turn this kind of looks like a good check-shove combo, but I have a feeling that might be suicidal against a lot of opponents.
Totally agree that this isn't the sort of hand where I want to force money in, and as I experienced it indeed got awkward on the turn. However, I'm not sure on your statement that medium hands are exactly the ones I'm supposed to call... I mean, literally none of my outs is to the nuts. Don't you think that improving to a flush, straight, or set, can cause a lot of trouble? I would much rather c/c bare nut flush draw or QJT, for example.
X/calling and betting flop yourself leaves you in the very same spot with the difference that your range after betting is polarized and your calling range is face up.
OFc if ppl tend to bet hands otf that are close to drawing dead, which there arent many from , then x/calling is surely best.
For me flop is a c/c but as played I would put more pressure OTT and if the river doesnt pair and flush misses you just have to shove. Dont like check-shove OTT just because certain players just dont fold their sets or pairs with flush draws.
I would c/c the flop, and thats what you do with wraps w/o fd. Especially 3 way. This makes your future blocker play even more credible either by donking or by check raising. You will not make higher fd s fold very often, so keep the pot small and go for bluffcatch w flush, blocker bluff when given the opportunity, or try to show your turned/rivered set down.
Ps: by blocking fd and wraps, your opponents ranges are pushed towards made hands
Great post, very illuminating! Thanks a million.
You have a 1 outter to the nuts with 10s, definitely check with not hitting one of your sets and a K being out there with two pre-flop bet callers in position.
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