PLO200 HU Overpair on paired rr flop
Posted by spartacus87
Posted by
spartacus87
posted in
Mid Stakes
PLO200 HU Overpair on paired rr flop
Villian steals 93% pre and dont fold to 3bets. He wasn´t raising many rr flops until this moment, but there were not many rr paired flops ip for him, as i dont 3bet that much and only ~100 hands played so far.
But this Villian definitely attacks paired flops and flops in general in raised pots oop and his croop in raised pots was 50%(!). He had also shown that he can bluff turns and rivers also after a cr . http://weaktight.com/5827841
Given this information, do u think u can transfer his bluff tendencies and overall aggression into this spot ??? ( which is a spot most villians shut down his bluffs often IMO)
and call down here? I mean most villians will see that i call the flopraise and have Overpair or quads on my own on the turn and shot down their bluffs
Loading 6 Comments...
This looks like a fairly poor spot for him to bluff, but, I think your too high up in your range to do anything but call turn. Additionally, his play in the other HH is pretty ambitious and also not a great spot to barrel off, but he took it. I suppose thinking he's at the absolute bottom of his range so he has to bluff. On this texture he will have some 35**'s or hands like 99** that way play this way.
If he barrels river, I think an ok strategy would be to call 1/2 the time w AA fold 1/2 the time. Maybe folding slightly more given you'll have 4x some non 0% of the time.
Do you have any info about his sizing? This might be an important detail as it's different in 2 turn spots.
In general, he seams to be the type who is not picky about outcoming cards, he just likes to put preasure. So I disagree with "..and overall aggression into this spot ??? ( which is a spot most villians shut down his bluffs often IMO) .."
What was the dynamic when this hand occurred? Who won last pots ?
So if you don't have a read on his value betting/bluff sizing, timing tell, I would call this turn.
There will be 364 otr leaving him ~250 left... you need to be right about 29% calling his AI. How do you feel about this situation vs this opp?
The dynamic was that i was 1000$ deep and was 4-5 buyins up vs him. He won a stack in the last 5 hands. I dont have any betsizing reads. Maybe i have to pay more attention to betsizing tells. In General its just like..... i think i never see someone bluffing in this spot ( on XXX YZ board) for 100BB independent of the specific dynamic /bluff tendencies of villians
Do you think its possible that villain bets turn to test you on KK-AA type of hand (thinking you would fold lower ones) and after you calling turn he would just give up otr?
Do you consider calling turn and decide otr when the picture would be more clear?
Call turn, fold river. Exploitable but he is never exploiting it. I think only 3 people in the history of poker have ever bet turn and river with air in this spot.
I cant ever bring myself to fold this after seeing the other hand where you have KJ89. Id call down.
Be the first to add a comment