PLO20 faced 3 barrels in 3b pot w/ NF board paired on the river
Posted by oboltys88
Posted by
oboltys88
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO20 faced 3 barrels in 3b pot w/ NF board paired on the river
BB: 27
SB: 31.26 (Hero)
SB: 31.26 (Hero)
Preflop
(0.30)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
4
Q
A
Q
Hero raises to 0.30, BB raises to 1, Hero calls 0.80
Hero raises to 0.30, BB raises to 1, Hero calls 0.80
BB vpip 79% 3bet 38%.
Flop
(2.40)
2
8
J
(2 Players)
BB bets 1.20,
Hero calls 1.20
for 1/2 pot i expect a cbet from a wide range (88% cbet in 3b pots stat):
FL, SET, PR+OE>, WR, TP>,nfb - 64% but maybe he cbet lower that usual on a monotone flop
FL, SET, PR+OE>, WR, TP>,nfb - 64% but maybe he cbet lower that usual on a monotone flop
Turn
(4.80)
T
(2 Players)
BB bets 2.40,
Hero calls 2.40
for 1/2 pot i expect : FL, SET, 2PR+ST, NFB - 54%
River
(9.60)
8
(2 Players)
BB bets 6.72,
Hero calls 6.72
i think he polarizes his range to :
2NF, FH (value) and NFB+SET<< (bluff)
value -71% bluff - 29%
if he bets all his bluffs (which is reasonable given the nature of opponent) my equity v the range is 42.5%.
ev = 0.425*(16.3)+0.575*(-6.7) = 6.9 - 3.8 = $3.1 = 15.5 bb
2NF, FH (value) and NFB+SET<< (bluff)
value -71% bluff - 29%
if he bets all his bluffs (which is reasonable given the nature of opponent) my equity v the range is 42.5%.
ev = 0.425*(16.3)+0.575*(-6.7) = 6.9 - 3.8 = $3.1 = 15.5 bb
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