(PLO20) Am I jamming rivers too light? (two hands)
Posted by BotOnTilt
Posted by BotOnTilt posted in Low Stakes
(PLO20) Am I jamming rivers too light? (two hands)
Hand 1: Villain is 76/21/2 over 440 hands with a 3bet of 11 and fold-to-cbet of 19.
I'd usually bet the flop with top-two + gutter, but here I elected to check. I'd really hate to be raised and I also think villain will stab with weaker. OTT I want to CR to get as much money in as possible, if villain has something like T9xx I don't think he will be going anywhere.
OTR I'm kind of torn, I really don't want to C/C since I don't think he will be bluffing here, but in my experience players with spazzy stats like those can bet some weird hands here, so I don't want to fold the nut-straight for less than half pot. Also I don't think he will have that many flushes in his range, as I have the NF-blocker so think his bet-calling range could have more of straight hands in it. Since I don't want to fold, and I don't think he will bluff much I jam myself. I'm hoping he could fold a straight here to avoid us splitting, as I guess many of his hands will have the same straight as I do. Dunno if this makes sense, and if this is too thin. It does feel weird to turn a hand that is often the best almost into a bluff though..
IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
UTG: $20 (100 bb)
MP: $20 (100 bb)
CO: $21.89 (109.5 bb)
BTN: $41.89 (209.5 bb)
Hero (SB): $25.89 (129.5 bb)
BB: $24.47 (122.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A K T
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BB calls $0.40
Flop: ($1.20) K Q 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20
Turn: ($3.60) J (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $2.52, Hero raises to $11.16, BB calls $8.64
River: ($25.92) T (2 players)
Hero bets $12.93 and is all-in
Hand 2: Villain is a 22/16/2,7 reg with a RFI of 61% in the SB. His fold-to-3bet is only 6% but I think our hand is good enough to 3bet IP. He does seem like an OK reg.
OTF his fold-to-cbet in 3bet pots is only 33%, but I think its a good bet with the NFD (+gutshot).
OTT I figure I don't need to bet too large, I want to be able to bluff at this spot cheaply and we still get a nice pot for the river.
OTR I figure many players would lead here with a flopped set, as its tough for people to fold Qx hands or flushes. I often check behind flushes when the board pairs and villains are certain to have a piece of the board. Here however I figured that given the BvsB action our ranges are much wider. I also want to be aggressive in these spots and put a lot of pressure on my opponents - so if I'd only bet the nuts or bluffs on the river my range for betting would be way too heavily geared towards bluffs (not that I know if regs at these stakes pay attention enough). But I did think villain would have a tough time putting down a low flush, or maybe even Qx. Does it seem OK?
IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
CO: $15.78 (78.9 bb)
BTN: $20 (100 bb)
SB: $21.18 (105.9 bb)
Hero (BB): $24.07 (120.4 bb)
MP: $20.92 (104.6 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 5 4 A
3 folds, SB raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.60, SB calls $1
Flop: ($3.20) 4 7 Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2
Turn: ($7.20) 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4
River: ($15.20) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $15.20
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