PLO1K: difficult river decision
Posted by nicegame
Posted by
nicegame
posted in
High Stakes
PLO1K: difficult river decision
CO: 789.65
BN: 637.33
SB: 2298.35
BB: 1542.20 (Hero)
UTG: 4044.58
HJ: 1106.50
BN: 637.33
SB: 2298.35
BB: 1542.20 (Hero)
UTG: 4044.58
HJ: 1106.50
UTG is a very aggressive player and HJ is a strong regular
Preflop
(15)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
J
3
K
UTG calls 10, HJ raises to 45, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls 35, UTG calls 35
UTG calls 10, HJ raises to 45, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls 35, UTG calls 35
Flop
(140)
4
J
K
(3 Players)
Hero bets 90.42,
UTG calls 90.42,
HJ calls 90.42
HJ has a low CB% so I decided to donk. UTG calls and I expect him to raise any set and any strong draw. HJ calls and I expect him to have either AA with a nfd or a draw.
Turn
(411.26)
4
J
K
3
(3 Players)
Hero bets 319.49,
UTG folds,
HJ calls 319.49
This turn should change nothing, so I lead again. I'm almost certain I'm good at this point.
River
(1050.24)
4
J
K
3
4
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets 651.59, and is all in
Here comes the interesting part for me. If the SPR on the river were 3 or bigger, this seems the perfect hand to go for a c/r here. Do you agree?
But with the stacks the way they are, I wasn't sure whether to bet, c/c or c/f. Which do you think is the best option?
Let me elaborate a bit more. I don't expect HJ to have many 4s in his range. By betting I can represent JJ or KK pretty well, but he might figure I could also have KJ.
So here comes question 1: what's the weakest hand you'd call with in this spot? I thought HJ might fold AA but would call with any flush.
When I check I think he basically knows I have KJ and by betting he is representing a backdoor flush. But the spade flush draw and the straight draws have missed, so there should be many bluffs in his range.
So the second question is: should I call of fold?
But with the stacks the way they are, I wasn't sure whether to bet, c/c or c/f. Which do you think is the best option?
Let me elaborate a bit more. I don't expect HJ to have many 4s in his range. By betting I can represent JJ or KK pretty well, but he might figure I could also have KJ.
So here comes question 1: what's the weakest hand you'd call with in this spot? I thought HJ might fold AA but would call with any flush.
When I check I think he basically knows I have KJ and by betting he is representing a backdoor flush. But the spade flush draw and the straight draws have missed, so there should be many bluffs in his range.
So the second question is: should I call of fold?
Also, these are my standard bet sizings on the flop and turn. After playing this hand, I figured I'd have avoided the river trouble by potting the flop and turn. Was my bet sizing an important mistake? Looking at this hand in a vacuum I think it is, but I'd like to be able to use this smaller sizing when I have a draw or a hand that I'm not sure is best and needs some protection. Perhaps I should always bet the pot in such a dynamic board and use smaller sizings in other boards?
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