PLO100z river bluffcatch with second pair? BTN vs BB
Posted by necromadx
Posted by
necromadx
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO100z river bluffcatch with second pair? BTN vs BB
Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players)
BN: $103.62
SB: $168.65
BB: $94.27 (Hero)
UTG: $102.15
MP: $100.00
CO: $82.87
SB: $168.65
BB: $94.27 (Hero)
UTG: $102.15
MP: $100.00
CO: $82.87
Preflop
($1.50)
Hero is BB with
A
J
7
T
, , ,
Opponent opens about 50-60%. It could be a 3bet pre, looking at it now, it definetely should be a 3bet pushing some equity preflop.
Flop
($7.50)
7
J
K
,
No reason to lead, so check is standard here.
Turn
($7.50)
7
J
K
8
,
I improved to 2 pair and a double gutshot so betting after my opponent checks seems fine to me, since I want to protect my hand against pair + draw hands etc.. From stats it seems like my opponent has somewhat strong checking range on the flop ( after he checks, he folds only 40% of the time ).
River
($16.50)
7
J
K
8
8
, ,
On the river I have perfect blockers - I block full and I also block a straight. But I dont think I have to bet once more as a bluff since I have some showdown value. My question is, can we bluffcatch the river here with our exact hand? Or maybe even check / raise and turn our hand into a bluff?
Final Pot
BN wins $15.68
Rake is $0.82
Rake is $0.82
I did some analysis in pokerjuice, put ranges together and came to the conclusion that this should be a profitable bluffcatch if my opponent is value betting 8+, checking back QJ+ and turning in to a bluff worse hands than that:
http://i.imgur.com/dTycJ15.jpg
What do you think about ranges I assigned to him?
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