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PLO100z - Middle set

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PLO100z - Middle set

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BN: $66.26
SB: $112.22
BB: $70.34
UTG: $105.23 (Hero)
MP: $611.10
CO: $114.10
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is UTG with A 8 8 A
Hero raises to $3.50, MP calls $3.50, CO calls $3.50, BN calls $3.50, SB calls $3.00, BB calls $2.50
Flop ($21.00) J 5 8
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $19.95, MP folds, CO calls $19.95, BN folds, SB raises to $99.75, BB folds, Hero

I decided to pot the flop because of the # of possible straight draws on this board. In hindsight perhaps a smaller betsize works better.

As played I am obviously very worried about JJ but even wraps have me pretty worried as well. Given how much $ I already invested though am I committed here?

4 Comments

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Cthulu23 9 years ago

https://gyazo.com/54b175e83e9df51247a8741f609cc423 i'm not sure i did it right, but that's assuming he raises all wraps, which probably is not true for every player. But for sure they raise 100% JJ unless they're retarded or something. It also depends how fast he raised and if you had some reads on him would be better. Flip a coin?

delek 9 years ago

Given that we still have around 15% eq coming from our 3 clean outs + bdnfd vs his jj part of his range and the 3rd player sweetening the pot i think we need to gii here

Cthulu23 9 years ago

Did not notice there was a caller already, i think it less sweetens the spot and makes it more of a fold actually, weighing sb's hand more towards JJ than draws. Unless CO is super loose and can have all combos of 674, 679. But even then sb should be less likely to shove draws since you will have a set often and waiting for a blank turn is more profitable. I'm guessing sb did have jacks since this doesn't strike me as a situation you'd notice and care about if you got it in 50% favorite?

Disharmonist 9 years ago

If we dont stack off with this, we fold anything but JJ. Villain can have a ton of wraps from T9xx to 6754

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