PLO100 concert with Math on the flop
Posted by RunItTwice345
Posted by
RunItTwice345
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO100 concert with Math on the flop
BN: Vsyd: $172.91
SB: lucylooose: $94
BB: SirMaoo: $135.57
UTG: Soima: $76.90
HJ: naples2504: $143.68
CO: Paatrick_129: $269.38
SB: lucylooose: $94
BB: SirMaoo: $135.57
UTG: Soima: $76.90
HJ: naples2504: $143.68
CO: Paatrick_129: $269.38
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Paatrick_129 was dealt
K
T
6
K
Soima folds, naples2504 calls $1, Paatrick_129 raises to $4.50, Vsyd folds, lucylooose folds, SirMaoo calls $3.50, naples2504 calls $3.50
Soima folds, naples2504 calls $1, Paatrick_129 raises to $4.50, Vsyd folds, lucylooose folds, SirMaoo calls $3.50, naples2504 calls $3.50
Flop
($14.00)
5
Q
8
(3 Players)
SirMaoo checks,
naples2504 checks,
Paatrick_129 bets $11,
SirMaoo raises to $46.37,
naples2504 folds,
Paatrick_129 raises to $152.48,
SirMaoo calls $84.70, and is all in
Turn
($308.55)
5
Q
4
8
(2 Players)
River
($308.55)
K
5
Q
4
8
(2 Players)
Final Pot
SirMaoo has
2
Q
2
Q
Paatrick_129 has
K
T
6
K
Paatrick_129
wins $273.34
here i have an interesting hand i played recently. I was trying to do some EV calculation on it but got kinda stuck.
I wanted to calculate my EV of calling vs raising here playing against a range of Exclusively sets. (Which is probably even kind of true in this scenario given the Fish in the hand on the flop)
So coming to the math part:
My EV of getting it in here against a range of exclusively sets is:
34,8 % (156+120)-120 = - 23,9
If we call the flop we need at least 31 % Equity to stack off on the turn which is true for 16 Turns.
On those 16 Turns we have a Avg. Equity of 62,3 %
On 29 Turns we fold and our EV for calling the flop Equals - 35 $.
I hope one of you can help me out with the calculation of The EV for the 16 Turns we do get it in on.
Thx a lot in advance :)
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