SB is, in my humble opinion, the second best player on this site. (First? Hmmm... I won't be immodest and say, ;p)

Very competent, though I think a little overaggressive postflop.

I'm not sure if this is too loose. It probably is. But we had been playing HU at this table until very recently, so I was still kind of in that mindset and I don't think this is a fold HU in the BB. I know wheel cards aren't great but position and reasonable connectivity and more excuses and so on.

2p+GS+2 BDFDs... can't imagine it's a fold to a HP cbet.

Villain's double-barrel% is 60% over more than 3000 hands.

In retrospect, I think I should have respected this bet more than I did. Axxx is going to be a big part of my flop calling range, so it's very value-cutty if they're betting too much here (and I would THINK they know that, but I'm not sure). But at the same time: this is a very convenient card for the PFR to barrel again on... though I also don't really know what they think they're accomplishing with much of their range: Axxx (again, common call for me OTF) is extremely unlikely to fold... and what else am I calling OTF that would do something they want in response to this second bet?

What combos do I have OTT that villain can deny equity from, especially at HP? 65xx is sort of the only thing that comes to mind.

What combos can I have OTT that villain wants to grow the pot against? Axxx (versus their better kicker) is the main option, though they may also be semibluffing their FH draw versus my entire range (including hands that are ahead of their trips right now).

Because if they're already full or better, they have all the good cards and they should know that I can't call easily (though A4/A3 could use some protection against the lone A in the deck with live side cards, I guess).

So, in real-time, I was thinking that it was an overly convenient card for their range and, with their high 2xBRL%, I was going to see a river. Probably too optimistic; I'm not sure.

Pretty darn interesting river.

Villain's check feels very give-up-ish to me. If not, it looks very "I just want to get to showdown".

As such, I figured I needed to throw in a small value bet here with my full house (when high diamonds or maybe even AKd!dd could bluffcatch versus my... missed wraps or trips?). I figured that any better hand was going to bet again, and that I was only going to see a call or a fold.

Wrongo! Time bank engaged.

I kept trying to find reasons to fold, because my first instinct was to call. I think there are a lot of reasons to call: we block the 5s2d nuts. Villain cannot have that. We also block 33 completely, and we block better FHs reasonably well.

If villain has AKd!dd or A2d, it's a super reasonable (if ambitious) bluff to find. And given that this is the player I respect most in the player pool, this could definitely either be them check-raising for value or check-raising to push me off a combo they know isn't the nuts.

To emphasize further: this isn't an average PLO100 (or lower) villain. In my admittedly immodest opinion, I think we're the two best PLO players on the site. So not only are they capable of more sophisticated bluffs than average, but they also know that I'm far more capable of making a big fold here (especially since I think my image is a bit nitty, if balanced-ish).

But is this likely enough to be a bluff for us to call?!