PLO100 3bet spot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

PLO100 3bet spot

BN: $87.15
SB: $219.28
BB: $105.45
HJ: $111.15 (Hero)
CO: $102.30
Preflop ($1.50) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt K 9 A Q
Hero raises to $4.50, CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $3.50
Flop ($17.50) T 9 4 (2 Players)
SB bets $12.60

Villains vpip 44 (79 hands), looks fishy, his first 3bet against utg or mp.

Could this be raise pot and get it in? I think we have some FE against AA**, and if get called we wont get it in so bad.

Opinions?

17 Comments

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Tom Coldwell 10 years, 10 months ago

I wouldn't 4-bet fold this without a SUPER compelling reason 'cas that has the potential of being a massive spew in a spot where a call is so profitable (great hand, great position). Given I like playing postflop w/ position and this hand isn't pushing THAT big an equity edge against that much, I flat here the vast majority of the time.

As for flop, I'm kinda torn. On the one hand, we have some equity and some foldequity which makes jamming fun. On the other, I actually don't think he's gonna have the hands we're targeting to fold that often (AA/KK** seem unlikely for a min-3-bet OOP to me). That said, there's $30 out there and we're risking $100 so it can't be that bad and even against like JT9 we're okay. So long as you don't fold, I'm kinda fine w/ it - would like to know how frequently he's fired a second shell/if you've
seen him get to showdown much yet, but calling and jamming are both okay.


EdgeKing 10 years, 10 months ago

Is a min3bet from a perceived weaker player a compelling enought reason to 4bet a hand with good preflop Equity to you, Tom?

Btw, is this a deep ante table or how are you able to raise to 4,5bb in 1st position?



Tom Coldwell 10 years, 10 months ago
I certainly perceive the min-bet as weaker, however it isn't a compelling enough reason to 4-bet given the amount I can get in pre and the rather limited equity edge I possess (this hand doesn't exactly crush the range I put him on). If I had the same read but was OOP (somehow), I would 4-bet to reduce this disadvantage, but with position it doesn't seem like a good enough reason, especially given my read isn't a dead-cert.


EdgeKing 10 years, 10 months ago

Agree with that obviously, just wanted to hear if you change your opinion about that spot if we happen to be oop and for what reasons :)

ohgodwhy 10 years, 10 months ago

Do really expect, a 44 VPIP considers folding KK+ on this board? I agree that he won't have it very often due to your blockers and his preflop play. I was just curious because I wouldn't expect him to ever fold that.

Tom Coldwell 10 years, 10 months ago
I think there's a non-zero possibility he dumps some overpairs (like KK58) given how easily we can have top two in our bet/calling range preflop. However, my main interest in shoving is that we get him off a lot of weaker hands which do okay against us given it's basically impossible to believe we wanna bluff-catch w/ this hand (also, it'll be super hard to get money in on our good turns and folding our bad ones will suck a lot).

Summary: If I jam, I put him in a difficult spot whereas if I call, he can put me in difficult ones.


midori 10 years, 10 months ago

Tom, why is it basically impossible that we wanna bluff catch with this hand?  J-K are good for us, and those hands that improves to a better hand on these turns likely won't fold to our flop jam anyway.  Also, we might be able to bluff him off if he checks on 5-8 turn.  

I agree with you that this is a close decision, but I'm not sure if I would hate bluff catching with this hand.  Maybe I am missing something, though.

Tom Coldwell 10 years, 10 months ago
What I meant was that it's not a hand I'm excited to induce with - I think we can be good some of the time, but it's not like I wanna invite that second barrel very often at all and I'd certainly prefer he folded than I gave him the chance to keep firing at my second pair.

Also, when he is firing the second shell, it'll either be on a blank (we're now really praying second pair is good and our draw equity has decreased w/ one fewer card) or it's a non-blank and it looks decently strong so I wouldn't be excited to continue either.


anxaas 10 years, 10 months ago

from my experience most weak players do make smallish 3bet from sb (sometimes button) to eliminate bb with mid-low connected cards, by not letting you make big 4bet

and cbetting on this board means he could easily have low wrap, 2pair+draw kind of hand, and I almost guarantee that he never has KKxx or AAxx here,

given that, I would call on flop and decide on turn, jamming on flop is not a bad idea but its really unnecessary in my opinion



Cthulu23 10 years, 10 months ago

You know it's not illegal to 4bet ip once in awhile

Tom Coldwell 10 years, 10 months ago
Agreed - but I would tend not to want to pick hands that can't call the 5-bet unless they push a big edge against his 3-bet/calling range. This kinda fails both tests for me.

To be honest, I'd prefer to 4-bet like 9876ds 'cas then I can potentially win some pots where I completely airball it and get stacks in great w/ deception whereas this hand I kinda hit when people expect me to + can't call the 5-bet.

Oh, and FWIW, if I 4-bet in this spot (i.e. against that sizing), I'm not going anywhere near pot. Prolly $20 max but often less (just to take away the initiative). Except w/ like AA which I'll pot. This is a huge bet-sizing tell, but good players don't min-3-bet OOP so it shouldn't matter (if I decide he is somehow good but does this, I'll lower my sizing w/ AA also).


ilovetiger 10 years, 10 months ago

yea I don't see much reason to 4b with this hand - we don't really dominate his calling range and reducing the SPR with a hand like this sort of sucks....I def like the mid run hands like Tom mentioned a lot more for deception and great board coverage....as played I'd just call the flop - jamming doesn't accomplish much imo - he'll never get his money in that bad and you lose the chance for him to make big mistakes by calling....the good thing is there's so many turn cards he can't bluff on profitably so he shouldn't get too out of line imo

Cthulu23 10 years, 10 months ago

What do you mean you don't accept him in your games, are we talking about the same viktor? why would he be playing 100 plo? :D


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