PLO100 - 3b pot, middle set on the wettest flop
Posted by superT
Posted by
superT
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO100 - 3b pot, middle set on the wettest flop
BN: $93.06
SB: $170.39
BB: $108.62
UTG: $115.41
HJ: $144.55 (Hero)
CO: $122.77
SB: $170.39
BB: $108.62
UTG: $115.41
HJ: $144.55 (Hero)
CO: $122.77
Villain is unknown, only 10 hands on him so no stats/reads.
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
K
8
K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3.50, CO raises to $12, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $8.50
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3.50, CO raises to $12, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $8.50
Flop
($25.50)
8
9
7
(2 Players)
What's our play here? Check/pot seems roughly breakeven as we have just about enough equity to stack off and I doubt we get much fold equity because villain isn't too likely to cbet light on this flop. Check/calling feels bad, we'll get owned on later streets. Also checking allows villain to check back a ton of hands that have nice equity/playability against our hand. Thus I'm leaning towards donking pot (and calling it off obv) to force villain off of those decent equity hands (non-nut flushdraws, OESDs etc.) and to not allow villain to bluff us off our hand later on. Agree?
Loading 3 Comments...
SPR is ~4.3 on flop, right?
I think I'd donk the flop for the reasons you mentioned. We are rarely crushed unless he has 99, and he might check back OP + FD (for example, AA:Add) but jam over our donk bet. Not to mention that once he checks back, we can't donk on too many turns.. J/T/6/5 put a 4-straight on the board, diamonds are bad, A is probably bad, etc.
If he jams over our bet, we stack off; if he flats, we stack off on most non-diamond turn cards. His flatting range has lots of dd combos, so let's say, on 4d turn we can probably get away.
Yeah, QJ/96 I'm not sure but I'd for sure have some other hands in my donking range as well.
If his 3b range is reasonably tight, he should still have a range advantage on this flop, say 55-45 in his favour. So I wouldn't go too crazy about donk betting a lot, but we do have some value hands that want to get the stacks in now, and I'd want to balance that with some (semi-)bluffs. JJ/TT blockers and Add sound good to me, although there might be more. He should be folding dry AA/KK against our bet reasonably often, which is a great outcome for us.
Be the first to add a comment