PLO10: top two OOP semideep vs raise
Posted by p1ndakaas
Posted by
p1ndakaas
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO10: top two OOP semideep vs raise
SB: $6.87
BB: $11.48
UTG: $10
HJ: $23.05 (Hero)
CO: $17.01
BN: $7.93
BB: $11.48
UTG: $10
HJ: $23.05 (Hero)
CO: $17.01
BN: $7.93
Preflop
($0.15)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
9
T
J
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.35, CO calls $0.35, BN calls $0.35, SB folds, BB folds
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.35, CO calls $0.35, BN calls $0.35, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($1.20)
4
7
J
(3 Players)
Hero bets $0.90,
CO raises to $2.91,
BN folds,
Hero calls $2.01
Turn
($7.02)
4
7
J
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $4.57,
Hero folds
Final Pot
CO
wins $6.72
Villain is pretty unknown to me but has kind of LAG reggish stats. He 3bets my EP raise so he must have a decent hand here. Flop is hard for me. I 'block' two sets but on the other hand is blocking realy blocking? Draw seems unlikely on this board. I considered shoving or calling and bet a blank. But as you see turn isn't a blank. Your thoughts?
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I don't see the 3bet?
ugly spot, but against unknown on kinda dry board you played it fine I guess. Only hand you were beating was the wrap and that just got there so easy fold on turn. I would need some read that he is shoving any 2 pair to get this in.
I quite like a peel here IP, Villain could be doing this with tonnes of combo draws which we're doing well against. We've got 7 outs to the nuts and our range looks a lot like a draw here so we could consider bluffing loads of rivers.
yeah IP I can see this, but we are Out position here
Ah, my mistake. This spot is very player dependent, the only really strong hands on this flop are sets and wrap and presuming we have a tight MP opening range (15%) we flop one of these hands less than 6% of the time. This obviously makes it a great spot to bluff, if villain knows this and is bluffing here a decent amount of the time like he should be then flop is a 3bet. If he's playing straightforwardly and would never bluff here its an easy fold to the flop raise.
Oh srry didn't know why I wrote 3bet, guess I was tired. Thanks for responses. Problem with peeling turn that the pot gets so big I feel like we are committed if we do that.
I am not sure if enough players at 10PLO will raise light here. I could see a lag making some plays here. He also could just be over valuing an AA or KK type hand since the board is so dry and kind of unconnected. If I think that villain is capable of making some plays here or will raise with his weak AA and KK hands that decided not to 3b preflop I would put in a raise. We are kind of turning the hand into a bluff but we are going to play turns and rivers so bad that I would rather take the pot down here.
However at 10PLO I am not sure how often a player would make a move on this board.
Well I have seen people put it in crazy light sometimes. Esp.at zoom PLO 10. Seems like half of the players are on tilt over there.
yea this is why I would probably go for the raise, I actually think that raise or fold are probably pretty close here and call a far worse option. We have no BD equity and too many cards are going to be good for villain to barrel with worse, he will also continue to bet with worse thinking it's the best AA, KK. We are basically turning our hand into a bluff with a raise, but I expect to be able to raise here and get enough folds for AA$ss or KK$ss that where not strong enough to raise pre flop but think they have the best hand on the flop and are trying to protect. I can imagine that at 10PLO players get this flop see it's dry and are ready to commit more so they raise with over pairs.
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