PLO10 Standard spot: top2 gets raised

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PLO10 Standard spot: top2 gets raised

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.00
SB: $24.73
BB: $6.63
UTG: $27.44
MP: $10.00
CO: $20.63 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is CO with T A K T
UTG raises to $0.20, MP folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.55
Flop ($1.65) A 7 K
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.10, UTG raises to $4.88, Hero calls $3.78
Turn ($11.41) A 7 K 8
UTG bets $10.93, Hero folds
Final Pot UTG wins $10.93
Rake is $0.48

Villain was unknown, only 5 hands on him. Is this a no brainer fold, especially since we rep a range that crushes this flop? Im a holdem convert and it seems hard to fold...

3 Comments

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Ephedrine10 9 years, 2 months ago

Hi! Its strange but i d fold on the flop. People usually dont play the tough guy on AK high boards and never bluffing so his potraise is AT LEAST AK! But more likely a set (even AA coz stacksizes he had not 4bet)

erdian 9 years, 2 months ago

AKTT vs AA,KK,77,QJT,AK has 38.95% equit
Remove AK from his range and it goes down to 30ish.
If only Sets you have 20ish. So yeah you do have 40% IF he does this with both top 2 pair AND straight draws. Ofc some guy might do this with A7xx and folding if you jam back but the problem is that on these stakes people call WIDE but POT with the nuts like 90% off time so without reads its a tough but correct fold IMO. If it was like 50 bb's and below you can call but Ithink anything above 60/70 bb's you gotta throw it away.

Roberto 9 years, 2 months ago

Feels gross but I think it's a fold as well for the exact reason you mention. You rep so strong here 3b the UTG. I'm guessing your 3b % in this spot is very low, assuming the UTG is not a crazy fish (then I don't like the fold either) so you will actually have AA here quite often.

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