PLO10 checkdown a very nice hand (top2 and flushdraw)
Posted by Gambling_Poet
Posted by
Gambling_Poet
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO10 checkdown a very nice hand (top2 and flushdraw)
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
CO: $11.39
BN: $8.63
SB: $4.00
BB: $10.18 (Hero)
UTG: $17.29
MP: $11.50
BN: $8.63
SB: $4.00
BB: $10.18 (Hero)
UTG: $17.29
MP: $11.50
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BB with
Q
T
J
A
, , , , , ,
Flop
($2.50)
T
Q
J
, ,
Turn
($2.50)
T
Q
J
8
, ,
River
($2.50)
T
Q
J
8
2
, ,
CO was a 90/10 fish, BTN was 40/20. So I give CO 90% and deduct a 2%3bet IP range to takes some of the AA out, and give CO a range of FI40%, deducting a 3bet IP range of 4%.
CO will have TT+ 24%, if he doesnt, BTN will have TT+ 37%, so the chances that at least one of them has it will be 24%+ 76%*37%=52%.
That is pretty high Id say, and the chances of taking the pot down on this board should be incredibly low. We do of course have a valubet, but there are many turn that will ruin everything so I decided to check and see, repeating the same on the turn, and ended up checking down a pretty strong hand.
Loading 1 Comments...
Betting flop doesnt make that much sense as can be behind against a straight or set and not too far ahead of flushdraws. Leading turn would make some sense in a way to fority your leading range with a hand with many outs when AK or k9 is unlikely to be part of villains ranges and 9Txx just calls. Once checked twice, leafing river smallish would be an option altough you block most 2 pair combos that are weaker.
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