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PLO 50 HU: AAKr 4b pot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

PLO 50 HU: AAKr 4b pot

SB: $68.43 (Hero)
BB: $75.53
Villian is reg. Stats (100 hands overall):
BB preflop - fold 47% / call 29% / 3b 24%.
3bpots - fold2CB 40% / raiseCB 0% / callCB 60%.
Preflop ($0.75) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt A 5 A K
Hero raises to $1.25, BB raises to $3.75, Hero raises to $11.25, BB calls $7.50
With such weak AA I would like to call if eff stack is >200bb. But this deep 4b is OK I guess. Moreover it's not my first 4b and villian saw non-AA hand at showdown being 4-betted pre.
Flop ($24.50) 8 2 K (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $16.74, BB calls $16.74
Standard CB. Size OK ? Can we bet/fold here?
Turn ($57.98) 8 2 K 8 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks
River ($57.98) 8 2 K 8 3 (2 Players)
BB checks
Do we have a valuebet here? Can we expect a herocall from AKxx?

OK. Here are my overall thoughts:

1) With this spr @ flop and my CB size I don't see a lot of FD hands in his c/c range. Imho all 2pairs+ and FD+pair should jam here. 

2) I am not very agressive at turn/river in 3b pots. So I expect easy value bet from villian with most of flushes @ river if he has'em.

3) Taking into account flop action and 4 spades @ board + 1 in my hand I see very small number of flushes in his range at river. 

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